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Pacers vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - March 1, 2025

Pacers at Heat

1:00 am • FDSSUN

Indiana Pacers

50-32
120
120 - 125

Miami Heat

37-45
125

Pacers at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pacers
50-32
-3
-3-110
o223-108
-148
Heat
37-45
u226.5
+3-110
u223-112
+124
location pinSaturday 1:00 a.m.
March 01, 2025
Kaseya CenterMiami
Pacers vs. Heat Expert Picks
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 47-50-1 (-5.2u)
Over 113.5 (2H)-124
1.24u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 52-34-1 (+14.8u)
A.Nesmith o14.5 Pts+Rebs-118
1.18u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 69-52-2 (+0.9u)
D.Mitchell u2.5 Rebs-132
0.66u
Can play this on FanDuel at -136 but I’m playing on Sleeper. Andrew Wiggins is out but I don’t think that impacts Mitchell’s rebounding anyway. He’s averaging 1.9 rebounds over 4.3 rebound chances per game with Miami. Projections have him at 1.98 rebounds and this is one of those sick bets you just make, close your eyes and hope he sees 4 rebound chances and doesn’t convert on 75% of them.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 187-191-3 (-4.8u)
A.Nesmith o10.5 Pts-120
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 113-122-7 (+43.4u)
P.Siakam u32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
O.Toppin u11.5 Pts-135
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 193-211-5 (-1.5u)
MIA +150
1.5u
MIA +4.5-109
1u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 30-83-4 (+14.7u)
T.Herro u5.5 Rebs+100
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 187-191-3 (-4.8u)
B.Adebayo o19.5 Pts-110
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 30-54-2 (-21.4u)
A.Nesmith o13.5 Pts+Rebs-105
1u
71% hit rate when he plays 20-33 minutes, projecting 27 mins tn. His minutes have been ramping up post ASB, he played 33 mins vs Denver, then dealt with 1H foul trouble against Toronto, where he only played 9.9 1H mins vs his previous 15.8, 16, 14.2 & 16.1 mins L4 games. I wouldn’t be surprised if he plays 30+ mins. From a matchup perspective, the Heat allow the 6th most catch & shoot FGM L15, which is Nesmith’s #1 scoring play type, with a 36.7% frequency. Think the books are discounting his minutes & he has had solid history against this Heat team, lets cash Nesmith ��� Would play 9.5 points as an alternative‼️

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pacers vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Pacers

Public

Home Logo

Heat

70%

Bets%

30%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Heat are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Heat' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		39-42-122-1917-23-121-2418-18-1
Pacers		36-44-217-22-219-2220-28-216-14

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat		44-3825-1619-2226-1918-19
Pacers		45-3721-2024-1723-2721-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat		37-45N/AN/A26-1911-26
Pacers		50-32N/AN/A35-1515-15

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Feb 27thATLW 131-109-3 WO 229.5MIA -157
Feb 25th@ATLL 86-98+2.5 LU 232.5ATL +114
Feb 23rd@MILL 113-120+4 LO 221MIL +151
Feb 22nd@TORW 120-111-3.5 WO 219.5MIA -162
Feb 14th@DALL 113-118-3 LO 218.5DAL -154

Pacers vs. Heat Injury Updates

Pacers Injuries

  • Pascal Siakam
    SF

    Pascal Siakam (injury management) out Friday.

    Out

  • Tyrese Haliburton
    PG

    Tyrese Haliburton (injury management) out Friday.

    Out

  • Isaiah Jackson
    SF

    Jackson is out with achilles

    Out

  • Bennedict Mathurin
    PF

    Bennedict Mathurin (injury management) out Sunday.

    Out

  • Ben Sheppard
    PG

    Ben Sheppard (toe) out Friday.

    Out

  • Enrique Freeman
    SF

    Freeman is questionable with illness

    Questionable

Heat Injuries

  • Dru Smith
    PG

    Smith is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    PG

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.

    Probable

See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
Player Stats
  • scoring
    Tyler Herro logo
    Tyler Herro
    29
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Kel'el Ware logo
    Kel'el Ware
    12
    rpg
  • assists
    Davion Mitchell logo
    Davion Mitchell
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    Jaime Jaquez logo
    Jaime Jaquez
    100
    fg%
Team Stats

47-88 (53%)
Field Goals
48-84 (57%)
5-8 (63%)
Free Throws
12-13 (92%)
21-39 (54%)
3P
17-32 (53%)
30
Rebounds
39
34
Assists
34
Turnovers
10
Steals
7
2
Blocks
4
11
Fouls
11

Pacers vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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Pacers at Heat Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pacers
50-32
o112.5-115
u112.5-105
Heat
37-45
o110.5-108
u110.5-114