Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.
Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional, official player prop picks: Today we have eight NHL and seven NBA games.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
206-174-11, +31.88 Units
- NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
- NBA: 100-81-3, +12.66 Units
- NHL: 61-72-7, -5.13 Units
- Golf: 4-4-1, +0.65 Units
- NASCAR: 4-2-0. +2.55 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
- NCAAB: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
- Exotic: 16-1-0. +11.43 Units
Sunday (March 3) Arbitrage Player Prop Plays
I’ve recently been able to find player props to arbitrage in the NBA and NHL betting markets. Any such props I find today I’ll highlight in this piece, which I might update as tip-off approaches.
What Is Arbitrage?
From our sports betting glossary, arbitrage is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same game in different markets to profit from unequal prices.
Essentially, when you arbitrage, you are guaranteed not to lose money. And in some cases you are guaranteed to win money. Not a lot of money. But enough to make the exercise worth it.
For more details, see this Sports Insights arbitrage breakdown.
C.J. McCollum Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Hornets: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +105 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: +105 (1.0 unit)
Regardless of whichever side hits, you profit +0.05 units.
Al-Farouq Aminu Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Hornets: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Over 1.5: +185 (1.0 unit)
- Under 1.5: -175 (1.85 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.057 units.
Kemba Walker Over/Under 3.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Hornets: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Over 3.5: +120 (1.0 unit)
- Under 3.5: -105 (1.2 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.143 units.
Kyrie Irving Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +115 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: +105 (1.0 unit)
If the over hits, you profit +0.15 units. If the under hits, you profit +0.05 units.
Jayson Tatum Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Over 1.5: +145 (1.0 unit)
- Under 1.5: -130 (1.45 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.115 units.
Zach Lavine Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +140 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: -135 (1.40 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.037 units.
Kevin Huerter Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: -145 (1.55 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.069 units.
Collin Sexton Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers: 6:00 p.m. ET
- Over 1.5: +145 (1.0 unit)
- Under 1.5: -135 (1.45 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.074 units.
Wayne Ellington Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Toronto Raptors at Detroit Piston: 6:00 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +100 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: +110 (1.0 unit)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.1 units.
Dario Saric Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Minnesota Timberwolves at Washington Wizards: 6:00 p.m. ET
- Over 1.5: +115 (1.0 unit)
- Under 1.5: -105 (1.15 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.095 units.
Bradley Beal Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Minnesota Timberwolves at Washington Wizards: 6:00 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: -120 (1.25 units)
- Under 2.5: +125 (1.0 unit)
If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.087 units.
Dennis Schroder Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots
- Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Over 1.5: -150 (1.55 units)
- Under 1.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.033 units.
Bonus: NHL Arbitrage Plays
I sometimes find some arbitrage plays in the NHL player props market. If I find any today, I’ll put them here.
Gabriel Landeskog Over/Under 2.5 Shots on Goal
- Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks: 4:00 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: -115 (1.25 units)
- Under 2.5: +125 (1.0 unit)
If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.042 units.
Mark Stone Over/Under 2.5 Shots on Goal
- Vancouver Canucks at Las Vegas Golden Knights: 4:00 p.m. ET, ESPN+
- Over 2.5: +100 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: +120 (1.0 unit)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.2 units.
Patrik Laine Over/Under 3.5 Shots on Goal
- Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Over 3.5: +135 (1.0 unit)
- Under 3.5: -130 (1.35 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.038 units.
Mark Scheifele Over/Under 2.5 Shots on Goal
- Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Over 2.5: +120 (1.0 unit)
- Under 2.5: -105 (1.2 units)
If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.143 units.
Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.
