The Milwaukee Bucks (39-30) and Sacramento Kings (35-34) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Kings are 2-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread (Kings -2), with the over/under set at 223.5 total points. Sacramento is a -135 favorite to win outright, while Milwaukee is +114 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Bucks vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, March 22.
Bucks vs. Kings Picks, Prediction
Spread
The spread is basically a pick'em. You have Milwaukee at +2, but you have an injury report that, as of this writing, could have a dramatic impact on Saturday night. Damian Lillard will miss a second straight game with a calf injury. Both Giannis Antetokoumnpo and Gary Trent Jr. are listed as probable. For the Kings, Domantas Sabonis is still out.
Moneyline
Regarding the moneyline, there's not a ton of difference in value. The Kings are 17-11 straight up as a home favorite, and that's actually not as good as it sounds. That record is just the 22nd-best in the NBA under these conditions. Only five teams are worse among those with at least a 10-game sample size.
Plus, the Kings are hardly favored in this spot, and I'm not sure they should be. Milwaukee is just 3-10 straight up as a road underdog, but this is as narrow as it gets. I don't want to bet on either team, so I'm passing.
Over/Under
On the total, the Bucks have played to three straight unders, and five of their last seven. Sacramento has tallied three straight overs and overs in seven of their last eight. Not even gonna try to figure that one out. I like props more, anyway. Pass.
My Pick: Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Bucks vs. Kings Odds
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2 -110 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | +114 |
| Kings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2 -110 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
- Bucks vs. Kings spread: Kings -2
- Bucks vs. Kings over/under: 223.5 total points
- Bucks vs. Kings moneyline: Kings -135, Bucks +114
- Bucks vs. Kings best bet: Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-140)
My Bucks vs. Kings best bet is on Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made, with the best line currently available at Fanatics. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
Bucks vs. Kings Preview
I'm taking Kyle Kuzma here over 1.5 threes. Kuzma has shot like sh*t from deep without Lillard — just 2-for-14 in three games — but he has a favorable match-up with an uptick in usage here. The Kings defense has been in the bottom 10 since the trade deadline and overall this season. Since the All-Star break, teams are shooting 39.4 percent from three against the Kings, the third-highest in the league.
Kuzma is getting them up, but he just has to hit. He's made at least two threes in just two of three, although given the volume he'll get without Dame and likely at least a couple of open looks against the Kings, if not more, I'll take my chances.
I also kind of like Kuzma over 15.5 points. He's averaging north of 19 in three games without Lillard, and with his 20 last time out, he's gotten over 15.5 in two straight.
I haven't liked Kuzma much these last two seasons, and I'm not sure I've even bet on him all season, but as it pertains to this game, this is one of the only looks I'm willing to tolerate. If you like the board more than I do, congrats, and power to you.
Bucks vs Kings Betting Prediction
- Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-140)
Same Game Parlay Picks
- Kyle Kuzma Over 15.5 points
- Kyle Kuzma Over 1.5 Three-Pointers
Parlay Payout: +120
Kings vs. Bucks Betting Trends
