Sportswriters at Action Network tend to have a talent for winning bets. Well, let’s take some of their +EV bets and put them in a same-game parlay for Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks.
Each day, we have best bets from our NBA, NHL and MLB analysts who cover sides, totals and niche markets like player prop bets. As recreational bettors, we all like to occasionally indulge in our degenerate side. So, when the time comes, let’s do it responsibly and create a fun, low-stakes same-game parlay.
For today’s Mavericks vs Celtics same-game parlay, we’ll use Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday, June 12:
Celtics vs. Mavericks Game 3 Same-Game Parlay
- Mavericks 1H -2.5
- Jayson Tatum Over 15.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Dereck Lively II Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds
Parlay Odds: +575
The Celtics took care of business at home and have a commanding 2-0 series lead in the NBA Finals. However, a tried-and-true betting trend points to the Mavericks in Game 3, and Andrew O’Connor-Watts is all over it:
“It’s hard to see the adjustments for Dallas, but this is a good trend spot for the Mavericks — at least in the first half. Home teams down 0-2 in Game 3 are 65-35-1 ATS in the first half since the 2005 season, according to Bet Labs.”
“We’ve seen the Mavericks climb out of early first-half deficits throughout the playoffs, but it’s different against a Boston team that has counters for most of the adjustments the Mavericks can make.
"Dallas will need to come out firing in the first half if it wants to take Game 2 at home.”
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The referendum on who the Celtics' “best” player may make for great talking-head segments, but the fact remains that all-star Jayson Tatum hasn’t played his best thus far in the NBA Finals.
Tatum has struggled with his 3-point shot, and his scoring averages are down across the board. Alex Hinton thinks we should lean into that and take Tatum to fill the stat sheet in other ways:
“In Game 2, Tatum started slow with just three rebounds at the half and ended with nine, just under his rebounds line. However, Tatum still had a double-double because he also had 12 assists, narrowly missing a triple-double.
“Tatum had five assists in Game 1 and has now had at least five assists in nine of his last 10 games. But Game 1 also foreshadowed his big night as a facilitator in Game 2.
“The C's star is shooting just 31% from the field, but he's still drawing extra attention, leading to easier baskets for his teammates. If Tatum has 6-8 assists converted on about 12 potential chances, that'll put him in great position to cash this combo.
“Tatum has had 10 rebounds in 11 of his last 15 games. In that span, he's averaging 10.3 rebounds on 14.8 rebound chances per game. That's helped him record at least 16 rebounds and assists in 11 of his last 15 games. Tatum has also cleared this line in five of his last six games against Dallas.”
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The Mavericks' rotation of impactful centers has been mostly negated in this series with Daniel Gafford and rookie Dereck Lively II struggling. Most of that could be attributed to the Celtics' defensive adjustments and their center, Kristaps Porzingis.
Well, with Porzingis potentially missing Game 3 due to injury, Bryan Fonseca says we need to back Lively on his points and rebounds prop:
“Dereck Lively II has not been good this series at all, but a large reason is the mere presence of Kristaps Porzingis.”
“Porzingis is in question because of an injury, and if he sits, Lively is the biggest beneficiary.
“Lively has snagged seven rebounds in each of the first two games of this series. I think he should stay around there, if not add more, so this is a bet that he scores more than two points in a game.”
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