Check out this post for updated season win total and this post for my other 29 season win total picks.
Cleveland Cavaliers Win Total Odds
The Case for the Over
This is a great buy-low spot.
The Cavs have developing first-round talent in guards Darius Garland and Colin Sexton, some talented young players like Kevin Porter Jr., first-round pick Isaac Okoro (who hit a game-winner in his first preseason game) plus big men Kevin Love and Andre Drummond.
The bench units have actual NBA players like Dante Exum, JaVale McGee and Matthew Dellavedova. Just increasing the number of actual NBA guys in the rotation helps.
I’m high on Sexton and Garland. Both are inconsistent, but when they look good, they're especially impressive. The duo showed quite a bit last season for all the losses and will continue trending in the right directions as they get more comfortable.
I’m not sure this is the worst team in the division, let alone the conference, let alone the league. Buy low.
The Case for the Under
Do you really want to invest your hard-earned money in the Cleveland Cavaliers? If this thing goes sideways, which it very well may, the Cavaliers are absolutely going to tank and that can cost you the over.
Promising? Exciting? Underrated? These are the words that terrible teams get labeled with. This is a terrible team. They were 26th in offense and 30th, dead last, in defense last season.
Why would either one be better enough to get them into the mid-20’s? If the East is where teams go to find wins, then the bad teams have to be B-A-D, and that’s what this team is.
Cleveland Cavaliers Win Total Bet
You can't just take the good teams, especially this season with so many sharp lines. The Cavs are tied for the second-most rest advantage games in the first half of the season which helps with a stronger start.
In 2012, the last time there was a shortened season due to a lockout, there were more teams than average with 30-40% win percentages. There was only one team with less than 30% win percentage, and it was the notorious Bobcats. The Cavs are better than that team.
If you can stomach it, I think there's value on the over.
