Giannis Antetokounmpo will return to the lineup for the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 4 of their series against the Miami Heat on Monday night.
The former NBA MVP had been sidelined for Games 2 and 3 due to a lower back contusion that also took him out for most of the first game of the series. Without Antetokounmpo's presence for approximately 92% of the action in the series thus far, the Heat have a 2-1 lead.
That means the pressure is all on Milwaukee, which came into this series as a -1200 favorite and now needs to win Game 4 to avoid an elimination game when the series returns to the Fiserv Forum.
Should you be buying on Antetokounmpo props or selling ahead of his first game back? Read on for our model projections on tonight's game between the Bucks and Heat.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Props
*Odds and projections as of Monday afternoon
While you may opt to take the route of fading Antetokounmpo due to this being his first game back from injury, the numbers suggest that this is actually a good buy-low spot for the Greek Freak.
According to our model projections, the best prop available on the market right now is at BetMGM, where you can get Antetokounmpo's over on his pointstotal of 26.5 at -115. We project him at 30.4, getting this play an 8/10 rating.
There are a few alternatives that are worthwhile based on our projections, and all of them are positive on his overs — at least on the offensive side of the ball. This includes 05.5 assists (7/10 rating) and 037.5 points + rebounds (8/10 rating).
As always, whichever side you choose, please bet responsibly.
