The Miami Heat (29-38) and the New York Knicks (42-24) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The game will be available to watch on ESPN.
The Knicks are 7.5-point favorites over the Heat on the spread (Knicks -7.5), with the over/under set at 210.5 total points. New York is a -305 favorite to win outright, while Miami is +245 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks for Monday, March 17.
Heat vs. Knicks Picks, Prediction
My Heat vs. Knicks best bet is on OG Anunoby Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
My Pick: OG Anunoby Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds
Heat vs. Knicks Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 210.5 -110o / -110u | +245 |
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 210.5 -110o / -110u | -305 |
- Heat vs. Knicks spread: Knicks -7.5
- Heat vs. Knicks over/under: 210.5 total points
- Heat vs. Knicks moneyline: Knicks -305, Heat +245
- Heat vs. Knicks best bet: OG Anunoby Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
Heat vs. Knicks Preview
The Knicks host the Miami Heat tonight in New York as they both look to strengthen their position in the Eastern Conference standings. The Knicks are looking to avoid dropping to the 4/5 with Jalen Brunson missing time while the Heat attempt to get out of the 9/10 portion of the bracket.
The Knicks will continue to be without Jalen Brunson (ankle). The Heat have ruled out Alec Burks (back) and Nikola Jovic (hand) while also listing Andrew Wiggins (leg) as questionable for this game.
The Knicks should have the edge here against this floundering Heat team. The Heat are 1-8 in March with a -6.7 Net Rating; they have been flat-out awful. This is a team that looks gassed and their on-court performance has aligned with that. The only victory they have this month is over the Washington Wizards, a team that is clearly focused on the future.
The interesting thing is that the defense has actually held up decently; rather, they have the worst offense in the NBA during this stretch with a 107.3 Offensive Rating, per Cleaning the Glass.
The Knicks have to survive without Jalen Brunson. However, they have managed to piece things together in his absence as other players have stepped into a larger offensive role.
One player that spoke of wanting a greater role in the offense prior to the trade that brought him to New York was OG Anunoby. We had seen him step up in Toronto at times and now he is doing so for the Knicks. His Usage sees an increase of about 17% to over 21% without Brunson this season, but in these last four games without Brunson it has climbed from 21% up to 25%, which outpaces his season average mark of 18.8%.
His scoring also climbs from 21.6 points per 100 to 26.2, per pbpstats. I like adding the rebounding as he's been more aggressive on both sides of the ball and is creating extra opportunities here. OG has now exceeded 23.5 PR in 4/5 games without Brunson this season, and he can attack this Miami defense in a variety of different ways.
Heat vs. Knicks Betting Predictions
The Knicks should take care of business tonight, but this spread still is a bit sizable for them to cover. However, I can add the Moneyline to a SGP.
I'll also look at Bam under 9.5 rebounds, he has struggled rebounding the basketball against the Knicks this season with just 3 and 7 rebounds. He also has gone under this line in 9 of his last 10 games with Kel'el Ware. Ware winds up playing more of the traditional 5 and Bam's rebounding opportunities are limited.
This matchup is particularly tough against the Knicks who have both Robinson and Towns to box him out at the 5.
I'll add under 9.5 rebounds for Bam to the Knicks Moneyline and OG 15+ Points.
My Pick: OG Anunoby Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
Same Game Parlay Picks
- Knicks Moneyline
- OG Anunoby 15+ Points
- Bam Adebayo Under 9.5 Rebounds
Parlay Payout: +218
Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends
