The Miami Heat (33-41) will visit the Washington Wizards (16-58) in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The game will broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Heat are 9-point road favorites over the Wizards on the spread (Heat -9), with the over/under set at 216 total points. Miami is a -410 favorite to win outright, while Washington is +320 to pull off the upset.
Let's get to my Heat vs. Wizards predictions and NBA picks for Monday, March 31.
Heat vs Wizards Prediction
My Wizards vs. Heat best bet is on Carlton Carrington Under 21.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists, with the best odds available at Fanatics. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
My Pick: Carlton Carrington Under 21.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-140)
Heat vs Wizards Betting Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9 -110 | 216.5 -110o / -110u | -410 |
| Wizards Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9 -110 | 216.5 -110o / -110u | +320 |
- Heat vs. Wizards spread: Heat -9
- Heat vs. Wizards over/under: 216 total points
- Heat vs. Wizards moneyline: Heat -410, Wizards +320
- Heat vs. Wizards best bet:Carlton Carrington Under 21.5 PRA (-140)
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards NBA Monday Preview
Carlton Carrington, despite being a rookie, is among the "veterans" playing capped minutes as the Wizards tank down the stretch. He's only averaged 28.6 MPG in March. He's failed to crack 30 minutes in 7 of the last 10 games. Carrington is averaging 8.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 4.7 assists in that stretch.
The Heat have been tough on defense in March, ranking 10th in defensive rating and 3rd in points allowed per game. They've also played at the 2nd-slowest pace. It's an ugly spot.
Carrington is likely to remain in the starting lineup, but he is ceding playing time to Washington's other young guards. He played just 22 minutes in their latest matchup, with Jaylen Martin and Colby Jones both playing more off the bench.
Carrington is also stuck playing with Jordan Poole while he's out there, so he's facing workload challenges while also getting his opportunities cut by the Wizards' leader in usage.
Best Bet: Carlton Carrington Under 21.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-130)
Heat vs Wizards Betting Predictions
By Matt Moore
I make this line closer to Washington +4.5, implying significant value.
The Wizards’ offense has been showing surprising signs of competency with stretch bigs like Alex Sarr.
Miami shouldn't be laying this many points against anyone right now. The Heat are 4-7 ATS this season as a road favorite against teams with a win percentage worse than 45%.
