The IndianaPacers didn't win the inaugural NBA Cup, but they put the world on notice on a national stage in Las Vegas with their high flying offense. The Pacers have already made history this season with the lofty numbers they are expected to put up based on sportsbooks' over/unders, and they are on track to break that record again.
Wednesday's Pacers vs. Buckstotal opened at 258.5 at FanDuel. If it closes at or above that number, it would be the highest over/under since a matchup between the Warriors and Nuggets in 1991 that closed at 259.
Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Total, Over/Under
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 258.5 -110o / -110u | +200 |
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 258.5 -110o / -110u | -245 |
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There had only been three games with a total that closed above 250 points prior to this season. This season, we've already seen a total above 250 three times — twice in Pacers games — and the Pacers have been an over machine despite the high totals they have to clear.
The over is 17-5 in Pacers games this season, they most profitable team in the NBA thus far (+1,052) when it comes to betting the over. Three of their unders came in the knockout stage of the NBA In-Season Tournament, which had slightly more defense than we've seen in their regular season games.
On the other side of this coin is a Milwaukee Bucks team that is 15-8 to the over — sixth-most profitable team this season. They've had two games this season where the total closed above 250 points, including the NBA Cup semifinal game (257.5) and a matchup two weeks ago against the Atlanta Hawks (251.5).
The top tier offenses have been running up the score so far compared to last season. The average NBA team scored 115.1 points per 100 possessions during the 2022-23 campaign, according to Cleaning the Glass, and the highest scoring offense belonged to the Sacramento Kings (119.7). This season, the average is roughly the same (115.0), but there are three teams (Pacers, 76ers, Mavericks) scoring more than 120 points per 100 this season and two teams within range of the Kings' number from a season ago (Bucks — 119.6, Hawks — 119.4).
