Karl-Anthony Towns and the Timberwolves look to steal a game in Denver against the Nuggets on Wednesday night in Game 2 of the first round of the NBA playoffs.
For that game, Action Network has a set of proprietary betting algorithms that believe there's an edge on two particular Towns player props.
The models consider quantitative and qualitative factors from every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more.
Karl-Anthony Towns Player Prop Predictions, Projections
The algorithms are bullish on Towns' prospects against the Nuggets tonight, when he'll be featured heavily in the Timberwolves' offensive game plan.
Towns is projected to put up 32.3 points and rebounds on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the best price on the market for that particular line is over 28.5 (-120) at BetMGM.
This pick has a roughly 20% betting edge. Essentially, you're receiving a 20% discount from the true fair value price of that line. Another way to think about it: the second you press submit on that wager, you'll be receiving 20% in expected value.
By that same ilk, Towns is projected to post 36.42 points, rebounds and assists for Game 2. The best total in the marketplace for that, too, is with BetMGM at a clip of 32.5 (-125). This line has an 18.1% betting edge, according to our models.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same unit sizing for each individual bet.
