Monday NBA Odds, Projections: Betting Model Picks for Kings vs. Knicks (Jan. 31)

Monday NBA Odds, Projections: Betting Model Picks for Kings vs. Knicks (Jan. 31) article feature image
Credit:

David Dow/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Tyrese Haliburton #0 of the Sacramento Kings.

Sacramento Kings vs. New York Knicks Odds

Kings Odds+6.5
Knicks Odds-6.5
Over/Under213.5
Time7:30 p.m. ET
TVNBA League Pass
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

The Action Network's proprietary betting model has detected an edge on tonight's game between the Kings and Knicks.

Our models are player-level, so they factor in all injuries and COVID-related absences across the league that have made handicapping NBA games so tricky over the past month.

This game won't get a ton of eyeballs outside of New York, but that's good news for you, the reader.

Betting model edges on games of little relative importance allows you to extract betting value without much of the broader public catching on.

Read further to see where our model says there's value for tonight's matchup.

Kings vs. Knicks Betting Model Projections

Our models indicate that the Kings should be just 4.3 point underdogs for this matchup at Madison Square Garden.

But, the market-best price as of Monday morning gives the Kings 6.5 points.

That's a roughly 4% edge, good for a B grade according to our models. Any grade B or higher is needed in order to definitively tail our picks.

As aforementioned, our models factor in whether there are personnel issues on either side.

That means it has accounted for the fact that De'Aaron Fox is questionable. It's also accounted for Marvin Bagley III and Terence Davis' absences for Sacramento.

For the Knicks, Derrick Rose remains out from an injury he suffered in December. Nerlens Noel is also questionable with a knee ailment.

Betting Model Projection: Kings +6.5 or better.

About the Author
Avery Yang is a General Editor at The Action Network and a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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