The New York Knicks (9-7) and Denver Nuggets (9-6) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. The game will broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Nuggets are 4-point favorites over the Knicks on the spread (Nuggets -4), with the over/under set at 233 total points. Denver is a -175 favorite to win outright, while New York is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Nuggets vs Knicks predictions and NBA picks for Monday, November 25.
Knicks vs. Nuggets Picks, Prediction
Spread
My best bet for this matchup is on a player prop as opposed to the spread, but I will be taking the Knicks +4 in my same game parlay.
Moneyline
I lean toward New York in this contest, but I will not be betting them on the the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in tonight's matchup.
My Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points
Knicks vs Nuggets Odds
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | +145 |
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | -175 |
- Knicks vs Nuggets spread: Nuggets -4
- Knicks vs Nuggets over/under: 233 points
- Knicks vs Nuggets moneyline: Nuggets -175, Knicks +145
- Knicks vs Nuggets best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points
Knicks vs. Nuggets Preview
The Knicks face off against the Nuggets in what is a situationally bad spot for New York. The Knicks just played in altitude against the Utah Jazz and now have to play Denver in altitude for their fourth road game of a six-game road trip. The Knicks have also listed Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) as Questionable for this matchup, which hurts their ability to attack Denver in the paint and it further weakens their depth at the center position.
The Nuggets and the Knicks sit with very similar advanced metrics. Denver is 7th in Adjusted Net Rating (+3.6) compared to New York's 8th (+3.3); Denver is 5th (115.4) and 13th (111.8) in Defense while New York is 3rd (116.9) and 19th (113.6), per Dunks and Threes. Outside of the rest and injury spots for both teams (NY – KAT; Denver – Gordon), these are evenly matched teams based on their performance so far this season.
I think the Knicks are a bit undervalued on the road. However, I think you need to wait for KAT's injury status one way or the other before buying into this game from a side perspective. I would consider them with or without KAT, but this number might balloon if he is in fact Out. However, there is plenty of value in the Player Prop Markets.
I'm targeting Nikola Jokic, as a scoring threat. Although the Knicks play at a slow Pace, Jokic is averaging 30.3 points per game this season and his prop is set at 27.5. He has been an elite offensive option for the Nuggets and Jokic should thrive against a thin Knicks' frontcourt that could be down to just Jericho Sims and Ariel Hukporti.
Even if Towns does play, he's susceptible to foul trouble and Jokic is one of the best at generating that contact. I'll grab Jokic to exceed 27.5 points, a spot he's gone over in 67% of games this season including four straight.
Knicks vs. Nuggets Prediction
This game sets up well for Jokic as a scoring threat. And if I was building an SGP, I'd include Jokic points.
I would also look for Josh Hart over 13.5 points, considering the Nuggets' defense against pick-and-roll has been extremely susceptible to paint-scoring threats since Aaron Gordon has been out.
Finally, I lean toward the Knicks to cover the spread, and I would include that here as well, for a potential payout of +483.
Best Bet: Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points (-115)
Same Game Parlay: Knicks +4, Jokic Over 27.5 Points, Jost Hart Over 13.5 Points (+483)
Nuggets vs Knicks Betting Trends
