Luka Doncic makes his Lakers debut Monday and our betting projections suggest fading Doncic on not one, but two picks.
Doncic and the Lakers are double-digit home favorites in his first game since the blockbuster deal with Dallas. Our proprietary betting models couldn't wait to get Doncic in gold and purple to crunch the odds and see where the best picks were.
Lo and behold, there are two Luka Doncic prop picks Monday vs. the Jazz with value, according to PRO insights – and both edges are on the under.
If you're looking to make some picks on Doncic tonight in his Lakers debut, here's what our expert models reveal.
Luka Doncic Odds, Prop Picks Monday vs. Jazz: Two Over/Under Predictions
Doncic's points line for Monday is over/under 27.5. His rebounds, meanwhile, are 7.5.
Projections suggest bypassing both major markets and taking a second look at under 1.5 steals. Shops are pricing the under at plus-money – a great bet using our metrics.
We forecast just 1.43 steals from Doncic in his debut, meaning a pick on under 1.5 at best odds of +135 (bet365) provides a hefty edge over 14%.
The second-best bet using our advanced models is Doncic under 7.5 assists at -130, at DraftKings.
Action hoops data tabs Doncic for just 6.7 assists, producing a 6.3% edge over the market.
