The NBA will mostly steer clear as college football takes center stage again this Saturday, with a total of only 4 matchups on the docket. However, we still have 3 nationally televised games slated for today on NBA TV, and our staff of basketball betting experts is mainly focused on the trio of matchups in the spotlight, as they've provided 3 NBA picks (including a same game parlay) for Jazz vs. Spurs at 5 p.m. ET, a pair of predictions for Nets vs. Cavaliers 7:30 p.m. ET, and then a player prop to close the evening for Raptors vs. Clippers at 10:30 p.m.
Read below for our NBA best bets for Saturday, November 9.
NBA Best Bets Saturday
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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5:00 p.m. | ||
5:00 p.m. | ||
5:00 p.m. | ||
7:30 p.m. | ||
7:30 p.m. | ||
10:30 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Jazz vs. Spurs
By Joe Dellera
Victor Wembanyama has had 3+ turnovers in 8/9 games this season, as he’s been a bit inefficient on the offensive end of the floor, averaging 3.7 turnovers on the year, and he’s averaged 4 turnovers per game over his last 30 outings.
This is a tough matchup against Walker Kessler and Wemby has had 3+ turnovers in all 4 career games against the Jazz.
This is also a Pace Up spot for the Spurs, given the speed the Jazz play with. There will be plenty of opportunities for Wemby to make three mistakes. I'm projecting him at 4.2 turnovers today.
Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 Turnovers (-165)
Jazz vs. Spurs
By Matt Moore
The Jazz are awful on the road. They are 17-23 as road underdogs going back to last season, with an average line above this at +8.4. If they are 'dogs of less than that 8.4, they are 9-13 ATS.
This is a beat 'em up spot for Wembanyama and the Spurs. A home game against an inferior opponent who struggles to both score and defend. The Jazz are small outside of Walker Kessler. Wembanyama was 2-2 on this points line last year against Utah.
Wembanyama has tallied three 20-point performances this season already, despite struggling relative to expectations, with one of those performances coming against the Jazz. The under and opponent team total under are 3-0 in those games, so there's strong evidence of correlation here.
I'll play this SGP at +230 with predictions on Victor, the Spurs to cover the spread, and the Jazz to struggle offensively.
Same Game Parlay: Spurs -6.5, Wembanyama 20+ Points, Jazz Team Total Under 109.5 (+230)
Jazz vs. Spurs
By Joe Dellera
The Spurs expect to return Devin Vassell on Saturday, and I expect this to give a boost to this offense, which will just be another weapon for Chris Paul to dish to.
The Jazz play at the seventh-fastest Pace in the league, which presents a significant Pace Up opportunity for the Spurs. Additionally, the Jazz allow the most assists per game to their opponents (29.8 per game).
As for CP3, he’s exceeded this line in 6/9 games this season while averaging 8 per game on 15.5 potentials. The only teams he went under against were Houston (2x) and the Blazers, two teams that play at slow paces, and one of those was a blowout loss.
I’ll grab CP3 to exceed 7.5 assists in today's matchup, and I’ll also sprinkle on him to record a double double, which is best built out as a 10 points/10 assists same game parlay (+375, bet65).
Pick: Chris Paul Over 8.5 Assists (+115)
Nets vs. Cavaliers
By Matt Moore
Sure, my model makes this Cavaliers -15, but that makes sense, the Cavs are awesome, as they demonstrated on Friday night. This is a bit of a letdown spot, except the Cavaliers are 9-5 against teams on a back to back since the start of last season.
The biggest reason I like this spot is actually a trend. The Nets pushed the Celtics to overtime on Friday, another feel-good loss for the Brooklyn boys. But teams on the second night of a back to back as road 'dogs after going to overtime the night before are just 40-54 (42.6%) since 2013.
I was on Cleveland Friday because I felt the market hadn't caught up to how good they are. I still don't think it has, even with the Cavs playing their third game in the last four days today.
Pick: Cavaliers -11 (-110)
Nets vs. Cavaliers
By Joe Dellera
The Cavaliers and Nets are both on a back to back, but none of the Cavs starters had to do much heavy lifting against the Warriors yesterday.
Donovan Mitchell has thrived against the Nets recently, and he scored 27, 45, and 27 against them last season, with the two 27 games being played alongside Darius Garland.
Mitchell has only averaged 22.6 ppg this season, but he’s dropped 30 in both games with zero days of rest, and he has averaged 24.8 ppg in his last 10 games when playing on no rest while, exceeding 22.5 points in 7/10.
I like Mitchell to exceed 22.5 points today against the Nets, who won’t have Ben Simmons (injury management) which would’ve been one of the better defensive options to throw at Mitchell.
While there’s some blowout risk, the Nets have managed to keep a number of games competitive this season.
Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 22.5 Points (-120)
Raptors vs. Clippers
It’s been a rough start to the season for the Raptors, as they’re just 2-7 heading into Saturday’s away game against the Clippers. While the sentiment around the league is that they hit the reset button when they shipped off OG Anunoby and Pascal Siakam ahead of the February trade deadline, this team looks more like it’s stuck in neutral.
Sure, there are some nice pieces with Gradey Dick, Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett. But if asked to identify the identity of this team, many NBA fans would probably struggle to find a suitable description. At the moment, the Raptors resemble a collection of individual talent, with each just playing their own game.
For example, the Raptors are not a great perimeter shooting team, and they’re attempting even fewer 3-pointers than in the previous campaign. Yet, surprisingly, Barrett’s 3-point shot attempts have jumped from 3.8 to 7.0 since joining the Raptors. That aggressiveness from beyond the arc is more of an individual decision that bettors should keep a close eye on when considering his 3-point props.
Barrett has a projection of 1.5 3-pointers against the Clippers, and he’s gone over this number in five of his last six games and three of four meetings against Los Angeles. With the Raptors struggling defensively and often having to play catch up, there’s a good chance that Barrett will have enough volume from the perimeter to go over this number tonight.