It may be football season, but the NBA train never stops rolling, as we have a loaded 11-game slate scheduled for this Sunday. Fortunately, our staff of basketball betting experts doesn't stop either, as they've come through with another six selections for today's matchups, including two picks against the spread and four player prop predictions spanning four different contests.
Continue below for our NBA best bets today for Sunday, Nov. 10.
NBA Best Bets Today
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  | 9:30 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Knicks vs. Pacers
By Matt Moore
Sigh. I tried this last time when the Pacers were in New York and the Pacers got destroyed. I'm back here again.
Maybe the motivation is still there for the Knicks to get revenge from the playoff series. But I just don't have the gap between these teams as wide as the line.
I have the Knicks +5.9 in power rating, the Pacers +3.1, for Knicks -2.8 which feels right on neutral court. Throw in homecourt and it goes somewhere between Knicks -1 (based on current season homecourt averages) or pick 'em based on the roughly 2.5 points of homecourt off the last three seasons.
I can't get to Knicks -3 on the road. I'll play the Pacers who have quietly rounded into form after a shaky start.
Pick: Pacers +3/Pacers ML
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Knicks vs. Pacers
I hit this at -165 on FanDuel on Saturday night.
Heavy juice, I know, but Towns is just decimating this number. He won't continue to shoot well-over 50% from three, but the Pacers give up above the break threes that Towns has excelled at.
This season, Towns has hit two or more threes in five of eight games (also four of his last five), including once against Indiana on just two attempts.
Over the last five games, his attempts are up to six per contest. Towns has also made two or more threes (really, three or more) in four of his last five outings.
Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-160)
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Hornets vs. 76ers
By Matt Moore
Without Maxey and Embiid, I make this game Hornets -4.
That's a huge swing but it's based on how the two teams have actually played this season. Charlotte's season-long numbers are worse, but they've had a brutal strength of schedule (4th toughest).
The Sixers are coming off a West Coast road trip. I'll take the Hornets to sneak up on a team that's simply not built to win without Embiid in the lineup, especially without Maxey, especially as a favorite.
Pick: Hornets +4.5/Hornets ML
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Kings vs. Suns
By Joe Dellera
The Kings face off against the Phoenix Suns tonight and I’m targeting a matchup on the interior.
Domantas Sabonis has been excellent this season and is averaging 7.1 assists per game, but it’s being pulled down by essentially an outlier game in their opener where he had just one assist against the Timberwolves. Since that game, he’s averaging 7.9 assists per game.
This matchup opposite Nurkic is interesting as well. Last season, Sabonis recorded a triple double in 2/4 games with one miss at 9 assists. He averaged 24 points, 14.8 rebounds, and 9.3 assists.
While I also considered points and rebounds, the biggest edge here is on his role as a facilitator. His scoring often gets capped because of Fox and DeRozan, even in what has been a good matchup, and the rebounds are not so far off from what he averages on the season.
I’ll back Sabonis to exceed 6.5 assists tonight.
Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 Assists (-115)
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Raptors vs. Lakers
Toronto’s Jakob Poeltl is coming off his lowest-scoring output of the season with just five points on the road against the Clippers.
The Raptors will have a quick turnaround as they face the Lakers a day later. Poeltl is averaging 15 points in 10 games this season, so it's reasonable to view his recent performance as an outlier.
Thus, Sunday’s game is a great spot to expect a bounce-back effort from Poeltl. His points + assists prop is available at 16.5, and on the two occasions this season when he failed to reach double digits in scoring, he managed to go over this prop in his very next game.
The Lakers rank 27th defensively, allowing 117.9 points per 100 possessions, and they’re 22nd in assists allowed to opposing centers (4.61 per game).
Poeltl has also gone over this projection in his last six games against teams ranked in the bottom third defensively, and he racked up 25 points + assists in his previous meeting against the Lakers on Nov. 1.
With this game having the highest total on the board at 235.5, there’s an excellent chance that Poeltl goes over this prop.
Pick: Jakob Poeltl Over 16.5 Points + Assists (-109)
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Raptors vs. Lakers
By Joe Dellera
Anthony Davis has been an absolute monster this season averaging 32.4 points per game as the engine of this Lakers offense.
Tonight, the Lakers take on the Raptors, who play at the sixth-fastest Pace in what is a clear Pace Up spot. When these two teams met previously this season, AD dropped 38 points in a dominant showing against Jakob Poeltl.
Considering the Raptors have the third-worst defense in the NBA (per Dunks and Threes), this is an excellent scoring spot for AD. He’s exceeded this line in 7/8 games this season, and I expect him to do so once again tonight.
Pick: Anthony Davis Over 28.5 Points (-115 )
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