NBA Best Bets Today | Wednesday, Dec. 6
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
| 7 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
The Spurs are among the weaker rebounding teams in the NBA, and the Timberwolves are in the top ten, fourth if defensive rebounds per 100 possessions. That, in particular, is noteworthy because the Spurs are going to miss a ton of shots against the vaunted Minnesota defense, who are elite on that end of the floor to start the season.
Teams shoot a league worst 43 percent against the T-Wolves, giving room for Rudy Gobert to clean up the glass. He's gone over 11.5 boards in three straight games after a cold stretch of just pulling down just 9.4 per game in a nine-game span.
My only concern is if the game gets out of hand early, so I'd only play this to -140 ish, and I would not go over 12.5 in the event this prop increases by tip-off.
Pick: Rudy Gobert over 11.5 rebounds (-125)
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76ers vs. Wizards
By Chris Baker
The Wizards continue to play at a scorching fast pace as they rank 2nd in pace averaging about 103.6 possessions per game. They rank 1st in transition offensive rating and that should prove to be a major edge for them here as the 76ers are a bottom-10 transition defense. The Wizards should be able to generate points off 76er misses.
The 76ers should dominate this game in the halfcourt as they will have a consistent advantage at the rim as Daniel Gafford will be pre-occupied guarding Joel Embiid. When Gafford is off the floor the Wizards have an abysmal 123.8 defensive rating this season. We just saw Philly absolutely light this Wizard defense up about 4 weeks ago when they scored 146 points and posted an unreal 147.8 offensive rating. Philly attempted 43% of their shots at the rim in that game and the Wizards haven’t made any changes to make me suspect it will be any different this time.
The Wizards have played 8 games against teams that rank top-10 in adjusted offensive rating and they have cleared this number in 7/8 of those games with the one game going under being the Celtics where they combined for 233. Finally, both of these teams are extremely well-rested as they have both had 4 days of rest since their last game so fatigue should not be a factor and pace may be elevated.
This Wizard defense is historically bad and I am going to keep taking overs when they are playing competent offenses. I grabbed 237.5 but would be comfortable playing this up to 240.
Pick: Over 237.5
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Magic vs. Cavaliers
By Joe Dellera
Paolo has a tough matchup on paper against the Cleveland Cavaliers; however, he’s been excellent in his matchups against them last season. Paolo scored 20+ in each matchup against Cleveland and averaged 23.7 in those head-to-head matchups.
Part of what makes Paolo so dangerous in this matchup is his ability to score at all three levels. Last season, Paolo was not nearly as efficient from 3 point range and still drained 3, 0, and 2 3s in these matchups. This season, he is shooting 44.3% from deep and that efficiency has helped to improve his looks overall. In this matchup, Paolo presents a tough defensive assignment for both Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Banchero is significantly bigger than Mobley and he’s much faster than Allen. He should be able to take it to the Cavaliers.
Pick: Paolo Banchero over 18.5 Points
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Thunder vs. Rockets
By Jim Turvey
The Thunder and Rockets will have fresh legs as they face off on Wednesday night, having neither played since Saturday.
That's part of why I'm looking at the over, but both defenses have also waned in recent weeks. The Thunder defense has dipped from their season-long rank of 5th defensively all the way to 14th, via Cleaning the Glass, while the Rockets have slipped from fourth to eighth.
Meanwhile, the Thunder offense is fully cooking, averaging 124 points per game over the last three weeks. I have this game projected around 230 so there's plenty of wiggle room with the line as it is now.
Pick: Over 225.5
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76ers vs. Wizards
By Joe Dellera
The Philadelphia 76ers head to Washington DC to take on the Wizards for their first game this week. One player that is extra rested is Joel Embiid, who has not played since Monday, November 27th.
Embiid is leading the league in scoring with 32 points per game and his affinity for drawing fouls has been a major factor in his success. His points line is a touch low for this game likely due to the absence and the potential for a blowout. However, he has exceeded this line in 10 of 16 games this season and even when the Sixers win big, it’s largely due to Embiid dominating.
From a matchup perspective, Embiid has destroyed Washington. He scored 48, 34, and 48 against the Wizards over the last two seasons and opposing Center, Daniel Gafford, could not stay out of foul trouble in their most recent game.
Pick: Joel Embiid over 30.5 Points
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