The NBA season continues on Thursday with a seven-game slate, and our Action Network NBA betting staff has four best bets ready. They're targeting two player props, one spread pick and one total play among their four best bets, including a bet for Kings vs. Warriors on TNT.
Find their NBA best bets and expert predictions for Thursday, January 25 below.
NBA Best Bets Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
76ers vs. Pacers
No team has hit more overs than the Philadelphia 76ers, who have gone over the total in 61.9% of their games, 26-16 on the year. The Indiana Pacers are seventh with a 25-18-2 over/under record, going over in 58.1% of their games.
The Pacers rise to third when at home, going over in 68.2% of games and in 15 of 22 games in Indiana. Philadelphia also has more overs at home, but they've still gone over in 12 of 19 on the road for 63.2%, which is fourth in the NBA.
Tyrese Haliburton is out, meaning he'll miss his 11th game of the season, so of course, that's the catch. The Pacers average 115.4 points without him, though eight of the 10 games without Haliburton have been on the road. Over bettors will sign for even 115 Pacers points given that the Sixers covering the 5.5-point spread puts the total right around this over.
If you're skeptical about the Pacers holding up their end on offense, they definitely should do their part to cash the over on defense by allowing the 76ers to get whatever they want.
Pick: Over 237.5
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Nuggets vs. Knicks
By Joe Dellera
This line is a bit low. There’s a chance MPJ gets the OG Anunoby matchup, but it seems a bit wasteful for the Knicks in this spot. I would imagine they’d rather throw Anunoby at Jamal Murray or even Nikola Jokic at times.
MPJ is averaging 16.1 points per game on the season and has exceeded this points line in 62% of games this season.
He’s ultra efficient from the floor, and despite New York’s strong defense overall, the Knicks allow a high volume of 3s per game. Opponents take 37.6% of their shots from deep, and MPJ takes over 50% of his shots from long range. It’s a look that should remain available to him in this contest.
Given MPJ's ability to score in bunches and in a variety of ways, I’ll back him to exceed his points prop against the Knicks.
Pick: Michael Porter Jr. Over 13.5 Points
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Nuggets vs. Knicks
By Chris Baker
This line is a little cheap on the Nuggets given Isaiah Hartenstein's uncertain status. Hartenstein has been massively impactful this season as he ranks first in Defensive EPM in the entire NBA. It would be a big blow for the Knicks if he's out, especially because he is the team's only viable center in this matchup against the greatest player in the world, Nikola Jokic.
If the Knicks have to match Jokic with Jericho Sims and Precious Achiuwa, they are in big trouble. Even if Hartenstein plays, he shouldn’t be 100%, and the better team is still just -2 on the spread. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a solid matchup for Jalen Brunson, and Aaron Gordon will be a tough matchup for Randle as well. This should be closer to Nuggets -3.5 with Hartenstein being a game-time decision.
Pick: Nuggets -2
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Kings vs. Warriors
By Joe Dellera
This is an elite matchup for Domantas Sabonis against the Warriors, who are playing their second game in as many days.
This game is particularly important for the Kings because the Warriors currently lead the season series 2-1, and this game would at least secure a split of the tiebreaker for playoff positioning. Consequently, I’d expect the Kings’ star players to play slightly more minutes than usual.
Sabonis has averaged 12.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game on the season, and those numbers have roughly held against the Warriors in three games. He is averaging 12.3 rebounds on 19.0 chances and 8.3 assists on 15.0 potentials against the Warriors, per NBA Advanced Stats.
This line is high relative to Sabonis’ regular-season hit rate; however, the matchup remains exploitable. I like him to have a well rounded contribution against the Warriors tonight.
Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 21.5 Rebounds + Assists (-125)
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