We are one month into this NBA season and through the Thanksgiving holiday with five more exciting games on the slate tonight. Our analysts have detailed six of their best NBA bets and expert predictions for Monday, November 27.
Make sure to check out the "Buckets" podcast to get analysis from our betting experts on the full slate, plus their thoughts on the final week of NBA In-Season Tournament group play. Listen to the latest episode and find our best NBA bets tonight below.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | 76ers -5 |
| 7 p.m. | Lakers +5 |
| 7 p.m. | Over 231.5 |
| 7 p.m. | De'Anthony Melton Over 13.5 Points |
  | 7 p.m. | Deni Avidja Over 14.5 Points |
  | 9 p.m. | Pelicans -4 |
76ers +5 vs. Lakers
7 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA TV
By Jim Turvey
I think this line is too short. Joel Embiid has handled business against Anthony Davis and the Lakers. He has averaged 30-9-5 in his last three games in that spot. He is +49 in those three and all three have been 76ers wins.
I think Philly is just a much better team and according to advanced statistics they are the second best team in the league. I think this Lakers team is still overrated whereas I'm a believer in the 76ers.
 | | | | |  |
Lakers +5 at 76ers
7 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA TV
By Matt Moore
The 76ers defense has fallen off a cliff. In the last two weeks, the 76ers are 23rd defensively (not including garbage time). I think this leans towards the Lakers with +5. Jim and I's models have different projections so we will see how this one plays out.
The 76ers had such a burst out of the gate and now we are starting to see a bit of a slide. The only thing that concerns me is Cam Reddish being questionable because he brings a different level of defense to that starting unit.
| | | | | |
76ers +Over 231.5 vs. Lakers
7 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA TV
By Matt Moore
I have this modeled at 239.5 so I am good with this number up to 240. The Lakers +5 cap contributes to this because the 76ers defense has been slipping, I think there is some value on the over. If Jim is right, then the 76ers will probably blow them out and put up a pretty big number.
If the Lakers win, I think they are able to get some traction against the 76ers defense. I am willing to bet this game will not be a slugfest.
| | | | | |
De'Anthony Melton Over 13.5 Points vs. Lakers
7 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA TV
By Joe Dellera
Ever since Kelly Oubre has been out, Melton has seen an uptick in his usage and began shooting a lot more 3s. The Lakers defense is good but is bottom-10 in frequency of shots from behind the 3-point line.
Melton has hit this number in six of eight games without Oubre. Also like this spot against the Lakers, because they play at the 9th-highest pace in the league. Melton, over his last eight games, is shooting 40.6% from behind the arc.
The new ESPN Sportsbook is now online and you can use Action’s ESPN BET promo code TANBONUS for a new user welcome.
| | | | | |
Deni Avidja Over 14.5 Points at Pistons
7 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA League Pass
By Jim Turvey
This cap is slightly dependent on Jordan Poole being out tonight. He is currently a game-time decision and if he doesn't play, I like this prop a lot. Up to 14.5, I might have more room on it tomorrow. He is averaging almost 9 points more per 100 possessions with Poole off the floor.
In the last game, Poole was not active, Avidja had nine field-goal attempts in a blow out loss. If he had played his full minutes load, he would have set a career high in field goal attempts and 3-point attempts.
| | | | | |
Pelicans -4 at Jazz
9 p.m. ET ⋅ NBA League Pass
By Matt Moore
I have this game projected higher. This is another instance of a duplex game. If you are favored on the road and you lose outright, then you are playing that same team on the road and are once again favored, you are 13-10 against the spread. You are 12-6 when favored by less than 6 points.
Ready to get in on the NBA action in North Carolina? You’ll soon be able to join in on NC sports betting, as the state is expected to come online in 2024.
| | | | | |
