NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
Jaylen Brown | Al Horford | Robert Williams
| Prop | Brown (12-1, 6-1) | Horford (25-1) | Williams (8-1) |
| Matchup | Celtics vs. Warriors |
| Time | 9 p.m. ET |
| Book | FanDuel |
The Boston Celtics open Game 1 of their NBA Finals series on the road against the Golden State Warriors after three days of rest.
Either Celtics center Al Horford (63% opening-tip win rate) or Robert Williams (59% win rate) will be taking on Kevon Looney (33% win rate) at center court for tip-off. Horford has not faced Looney in a tip this season, but Williams and Looney have each won one tip-off against each other this season. Still, Boston should have a solid advantage on the tip-off either way.
The Celtics first in the league at scoring first, doing so 65% of the time. Meanwhile, the Warriors are below league average and score first just 38% of the time. For the playoffs, Boston has scored first in 61% of its games while the Warriors have tailed off significantly and scored first in just 19% of its games.
I'm going to focus on Celtics players in Game 1. Jaylen Brown and Horford exact methods are my favorite plays and I’m adding in a small first basket play on Williams based on the Warriors' relative weakness against the center position for first baskets.
Picks:
- Jaylen Brown Exact Method: 3-pointer (+1200, Risk 0.3 units)
- Jaylen Brown Exact Method: 2-pointer (+600, Risk 0.5 units)
- Al Horford Exact Method: 3-pointer (+2500, Risk 0.1 units)
- Robert Williams First Basket (+800, Risk 0.3 units)
Celtics vs. Warriors First Basket Data
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