As we exit the All-Star Break, it's a fitting time to reassess the odds for this year's NBA Finals.
According to Kalshi's market, the Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder both have a 28% chance to hoist the Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy at season's end.
Boston and Oklahoma City have traded the top two spots on Kalshi for over the past month. While the Thunder boast the Western Conference's best record at 44-10, the Celtics trail the Cleveland Cavaliers by 5.5 games for the East's top spot.
These two are clearly the favorites to take home the title according to Kalshi, as Cleveland has the third-highest odds at just 12%.
For those searching for some value, a veteran Nuggets squad that likes to hit their stride late in the season and go on a lengthy playoff run is currently sitting at just 7% to win it all. For a team that knows what it takes to win a title, led by the dangerous duo of Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic, this looks like a great buy-low spot on Denver.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
Use the promo code below to claim $10 when signing up as a new user.