The NBA Finals have been a proving ground for role players, and Game 4 of this series between the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat provides a great opportunity to find value on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s NBA Finals game.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Christian Braun More Than 4.5 Points
Christian Braun has been a pleasant surprise for the Nuggets off the bench. Over the past two games, Braun has seen a bump in playing time, averaging 17 minutes per game.
Braun has taken advantage of this opportunity and been a spark in this role. Over the last two games, Braun has scored 21 points total, including 15 points in Game 3. He has thrived on the fast break for the Nuggets and, with the attention that goes to Jokic and Murray, has especially been able to finish around the basket on cuts.
With the success the Nuggets have when Braun is coming off the bench, Michael Porter Jr. has seen his minutes dwindle. Braun has been efficient from the floor in the last two games, where he is 10 of 11 from the field. I expect Braun to continue thriving off the bench for Nuggets and taking advantage of the minutes he is playing.
Duncan Robinson More Than 1.5 3-Pointers
For my second play on PrizePicks, I am going to take a role player on the Miami Heat, Duncan Robinson, to top his 3-point projection. Robinson is averaging 17 minutes per game in the NBA Finals thus far. He has taken advantage of the opportunity and has been hitting his 3-point shots in that span. In this series, Robinson has made a total of six 3-point shots on 14 attempts.
Further, Robinson is averaging close to five attempts per game and shooting it at a 42.8% clip from beyond the arc. Robinson has surpassed this projection in two of the three games for the Heat. It’s no secret, the Heat typically win games when they are knocking down their 3-point shots, and that puts value shooters like Robinson.
Furthermore, Robinson has made at least two 3-point shots in five out of the last six playoff games. I expect Robinson to continue getting up the 3-point attempts and knocking the shots down for the Heat.
