Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine.
For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
18-17-3, +8.23 Units
- Golf: 2-3-1, -0.70 Units
- NFL: 5-5-0, +6.83 Units
- NBA: 6-5-0, +0.30 Units
- NHL: 5-3-2, +2.80 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units
Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop Bet for Thursday, Jan. 31: Jarrett Allen Over/Under 10.5 Points
- Over 10.5: +120
- Under 10.5: -150
I haven’t hit on my NBA props in a while, but there's an intriguing one presenting itself in today's Spurs-Nets game (8:30 p.m. ET).
I really like the over for Brooklyn center Jarrett Allen.
For the season, the second-year center has 11.2 points per game on 26.7 minutes. In the FantasyLabs NBA Models, we have him projected for 27.5 minutes against the Spurs, so he should see his usual volume.
In our Props Tool, we’re projecting Allen for 12.1 points. At plus odds, the over offers great value.
At 10.5, I’d bet the over to -110. At +120, I’d bet it to 11.0.
The Pick: Over 10.5 (+120)
Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.
