We have a total of three NBA player props for this Tuesday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight's contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday, March 4.
NBA Player Props for Tuesday, March 4
- Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 Three-Pointers (+125)
- Mike Conley Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-115)
- Chris Paul Under 3.5 Rebounds (-120)
Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 Three-Pointers (+125)
Cavaliers vs Bulls, 8:00 p.m. ET
The blowout is a concern here, but the matchup is too good to pass up with this line.
The Bulls are the 3rd-fastest paced team in the league this season and are near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency. They are top-10 in three-pointers allowed per game and likely aren't going to be able to stop Donovan Mitchell here, who is going to be chucking all game long.
RotoGrinders has Mitchell projected for nearly 0.5 three-pointers over this number making this a great EV bet at big plus-odds.
Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 Three-Pointers (+125)
Mike Conley Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-115)
76ers vs Timberwolves, 8:00 p.m. ET
It's been a while since Minnesota has been fully healthy, but we got a glimpse of it on Sunday. Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo both returned and slotted back into their typical roles. Mike Conley played just 20 minutes, finishing with 3 points, 1 rebound, and 1 assist.
The stat line isn't as important as the situation. Randle's return meant the player with the 2nd-highest usage for Minnesota is back in the mix. DiVincenzo being back gives head coach Chris Finch another legitimate point guard/ball-handling option. It seems like the 37-year-old Conley might get squeezed out.
Randle is questionable tonight, but he played 34 minutes on Sunday with no reported setbacks. Rudy Gobert remains out, which is a negative for Conley, since his absence moves Naz Reid into the starting lineup. Reid's usage rate is much higher than Gobert's, which further limits Conley's opportunities.
Philadelphia is a tremendous matchup, although Phoenix was also a good spot. The bigger issue for Conley might be the massive spread. The Timberwolves are 14-point favorites, and that number could grow depending on the statuses of Tyrese Maxey, Paul George, and Kelly Oubre Jr.
George and Oubre both missed last night's game. Maxey took a hard fall and left early in the second half. This is Philly's 3rd game in 4 nights. It'll be an uphill battle for the Sixers to keep this game competitive.
Pick: Mike Conley Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-115)
