Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine.
For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
18-14-3, +11.23 Units
- Golf: 2-2-1, +0.30 Units
- NFL: 5-5-0, +6.83 Units
- NBA: 6-4-0, +1.30 Units
- NHL: 5-2-2, +3.80 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units
Freedman’s Favorite NBA Prop Bet for Wednesday, Jan. 23: Ante Zizic Over/Under 8.5 Rebounds
- Over 8.5: +100
- Under 8.5: -130
I haven't hit on my NBA props for the past two days. Daddy is angry.
But we will not be denied today. The Celtics-Cavaliers game (7:30 p.m. ET) offers a lot of value, especially Cleveland center Ante Zizic.
For the season, the second-year backup has just 4.3 rebounds on 13.9 minutes per game, but he’s expected to start in place of the injured Tristan Thompson (foot).
Lineup note: Ante Zizic will start for injured Tristan Thompson on Wednesday.
— FantasyLabs NBA (@FantasyLabsNBA) January 23, 2019
In the FantasyLabs NBA Models, we have Zizic projected for 30.5 minutes, so he should see a big boost in rebounding opportunities.
In our Props Tool, we’re projecting him for 11.8 rebounds. And against opposing centers, Boston has allowed an above-average 15.4 rebounds per game.
This line is available at MyBookie. At 8.5, I’d bet it to -150. At +100, I’d bet it to 9.5.
The Pick: Over 8.5 (+100)
Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.