The NBA Playoffs resume with a fully loaded 4-game slate this Saturday. Cavaliers-Heat and Thunder-Grizzlies will take center stage in the afternoon window, and then Nuggets-Clippers and Rockets-Warriors will close out the evening.
Continue below for my NBA player props for Saturday's first round playoff games.
NBA Player Props for Saturday, April 26
- Kris Dunn Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-105, BetMGM)
- Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds (+105, BetMGM)
- Davion Mitchell Over 18.5 Points + Assists (-110, DraftKings)
Kris Dunn Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Nuggets vs Clippers, 6:00 p.m. ET
Another role player I am targeting today is Kris Dunn. Like Mitchell, Dunn is on the floor to be disruptive on the defensive end. However, that also allows him to fill up the stat sheet as well.
Through the first three games in this series against the Nuggets, he is averaging 7.0 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 1.0 assists for the Clippers. He has cleared this line in the first three games in this series and seven of his last 10 games dating back to the regular season. During that span, he averages 26 minutes per game.
With the attention drawn to Kawhi Leonard and James Harden, Dunn has gotten some open looks on corner threes. He has knocked down five triples in this series thus far, and he has also capitalized on his opportunities as a cutter. That should help him to get 13 PRA once again today.
Pick: Kris Dunn Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-105, BetMGM)
Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds
Rockets vs Warriors, 8:30 p.m. ET
Steve Kerr has always preferred that his Warriors play a smaller lineup. While it has obviously led to championship success, it can also leave the Warriors vulnerable on the glass. In the regular season, they finished 28th in rebounds allowed to centers. One player who has taken advantage of those matchups is Alperen Sengun.
In his last eight games against the Warriors, Sengun has had at least 10 rebounds in six of them. He nearly missed a double-double with 26 points and nine rebounds in Game 1. However, he had 17 points and 16 rebounds in Game 2.
Sengun has cleared this line in four of his last five games against Golden State. In addition to Houston's size advantage, the Warriors may not have Jimmy Butler available tonight. If he is unavailable, the Warriors will struggle to score against Houston's top-ranked defense, as they will be able to load up on Stephen Curry.
That will give Sengun plenty of rebound chances, and he has had 18 in each of the first two games. If he has 18 rebound chances again, I expect him to grab at least 11 of them.
Pick: Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds (+105, BetMGM)
Davion Mitchell Over 18.5 Points + Assists
Cavaliers vs Heat, 1:00 p.m. ET
Davion Mitchell has been a revelation in Miami after being acquired in a midseason trade. In 30 regular season games, he averaged 10.4 points and 5.3 assists while shooting 50.4% from the field and 44.7% from three. Now, you aren't going to think of him as a scorer, particularly with a nickname like "Off Night" for his defensive prowess. However, he has scored in double figures in nine of his last 10 games.
Mitchell has scored 18 points in each of the first two games in this series, nearly clearing this line with just his scoring. He also earned the start in Game 2 and played 36 minutes. I would expect that to remain the case, as his defense will be needed with Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell on the other side.
Mitchell also gives the Heat another playmaker in the backcourt alongside Tyler Herro. He has 15 assists through the first two games of this series and five assists in nine of his last 10 games. The floor he has shown with both his scoring and passing will keep him in contention to clear this line. He has done so in seven of his last nine games, and he is averaging 25.5 PA in this series.
Pick: Davion Mitchell Over 18.5 Points + Assists (-110, DraftKings)
