We have three NBA player props for Monday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances to start the week.
Magic vs. Hornets sets the stage at 7 p.m. ET, and two of our experts have their sights set on Charlotte with picks targeting LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller. Our third and final pick of the day comes from Thunder vs. Kings, which is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on NBA TV, where Sacramento forward DeMar DeRozan will be the player of interest.
Continue below for our NBA player prop picks for Monday, November 25.
NBA Player Props for Monday, Nov. 25
- LaMelo Ball Under 5.5 Rebounds (-105, DraftKings)
- Brandon Miller Under 33.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-120, bet365)
- DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Rebounds (-120, DraftKings)
Magic vs. Hornets Player Prop Pick
This number was 5.5 juiced heavily to the under on Saturday in a good matchup against the Bucks. Grant Williams went down with a season-ending injury, so now we're getting the under at plus money. That seems like an overreaction given the replacements for Williams and Miles Bridges (also ruled out).
Moussa Diabate has replaced Bridges in the starting lineup the past two games and piled up 27 rebounds. He's posted a massive 20.2% rebounding rate in limited action this season. Diabate should be locked into 30+ minutes with both Williams and Bridges out. Tidjane Salaun should also enter the starting mix. His 10.7% rebounding rate is nearly identical to Bridges' mark. It's well ahead of Williams' rebounding rate.
Ball has averaged 4.9 rebounds on 8.3 rebound chances this season. He takes a -1.4% rebounding rate hit with both Diabate and Salaun on the court. Orlando is 11th in rebounding rate. They allow the 4th-fewest rebounds per game. Ball could see massive usage with Bridges and Williams sidelined, but I'm not expecting a bump in rebounding.
Pick: LaMelo Ball Under 5.5 Rebounds
Magic vs. Hornets Player Props
By Allan Lem
Brandon Miller has cleared this number in 3 straight games, but 2 of those games were against teams in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency (Milwaukee, Brooklyn). This is a scary fade given Miles Bridges, Tre Mann, Grant Williams, Mark Williams, and Nick Richards are all out due to injuries. This is going to give Miller and LaMelo Ball freedom to take all the shots they want.
At the same time, the Magic rank 4th in defensive efficiency and are starting to get healthy. Jalen Suggs is not on the injury report after leaving last game early due to injury, KCP is back from a personal leave, and Wendell Carter Jr. has been upgraded to questionable. When these two teams met a few weeks ago, the Magic held Miller to 18 PRA over 37 minutes on 3-of-18 shooting.
My projections have Miller closer to 31 PRA. I just have no idea how efficient this Hornets offense is going to be moving forward with two reliable scorers (Miller, Ball) surrounded by low-usage players (e.g., Josh Green, Moussa Diabate, Taj Gibson). I'm going to trust this Magic defense and play lower than 34.5 PRA on Miller.
Pick: Brandon Miller Under 33.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
Thunder vs. Kings Player Prop Pick
By Kyle Murray
This is a great spot to bet DeMar DeRozan props for the Kings, as tonight's matchup against Oklahoma City projects to be close, giving him the chance to play 35 minutes or more in what's expected to be a competitive Western Conference showdown.
This is also a great matchup for him in terms of pace, as the the Thunder play at the fastest pace in the NBA.
As a result, the Thunder have allowed the most rebounds per game to opposing teams. I expect DeRozan to clear 3.5 rebounds with relative ease tonight.
Pick: DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Rebounds
