We have three NBA player props for Black Friday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances as we head to the weekend.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Friday, November 29.
NBA Player Props for Friday, Nov. 29
- Brandon Miller Over 25.5 Points (-112, DraftKings)
- Jimmy Butler Over 23.5 Points & Rebounds (-105, bet365)
- LeBron James Under 9.5 Assists (-125, Caesars)
Knicks vs. Hornets Player Prop Pick
This should be the Brandon Miller Show. LaMelo Ball is out, which has meant a 4% usage bump for Miller. With Miles Bridges also off the court, Miller's usage has risen by 5.9%. His 32.8% usage rate with both guys on the bench would be among the league leaders.
The Knicks have been a solid matchup this season. They're 24th in defensive rating and 18th in points allowed per game.
Charlotte will likely fill out the starting lineup with low-usage guys like Josh Green, Tidjane Salaun, and Taj Gibson.
We should also see a heavy dose of Moussa Diabate, who is only out there to rebound. Miller could take 25+ shots here.
Pick: Brandon Miller Over 25.5 Points
Raptors vs. Heat Player Prop Pick
By Kyle Murray
LeBron James has been very effective as a passer for the Lakers this season, but this line is still a tall order (OU 23.5), especially when you factor in the difficult matchup against OKC.
The Thunder do play fast, but they are still 1st in defensive efficiency and have allowed the 2nd-fewest points and 6th-fewest assists per game this season.
I'll back Butler to stay under 23.5 combined points plus rebounds line tonight.
Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 23.5 Points & Rebounds
Thunder vs. Lakers Player Prop Pick
By Kyle Murray
Love this spot for Jimmy Butler against a Raptors team that ranks in the top-7 in pace and bottom-5 in defensive efficiency.
Butler has gone over this number in 3 of the 4 games he's played since returning from injury, and while he does have some strong rebounding upside as well, he can easily clear this number on points alone.
My model projects for something like that, as I have him for 23.3 points and 5.8 rebounds.
Pick: LeBron James Under 9.5 Assists