The last day of the regular season features a pivotal Pelicans vs. Timberwolves matchup along with several glorified G-League contests. However, there are still ways to make money on this 15-game slate. This article features three player props to target which include Alperen Sengun, Stephen Curry and Anthony Edwards. Let's end this season on a high note!
NBA Player Props & Picks
Alperen Sengun, Over 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
| Spread | Rockets -3 |
| Time | TV | 1 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | FanDuel |
With the Rockets already locked into top-three lottery odds, they have everyone healthy and are three-point favorites against the Wizards as the Rockets are expected to play all of their normal rotation players. Over the last five games, Alperen Sengun is averaging a massive double-double with 17.6 points and 14.2 rebounds per game. He is playing 37.6 minutes a night in those five games as he has a chance to end his season with another dominating performance.
Focusing on Sengun's rebounds, he has surpassed this prop line in four of his last five games. During that stretch, Sengun is averaging an absurd 22.4 rebound chances per game. The Wizards will not have centers Kristaps Porzingis or Daniel Gafford on the floor, which will provide Sengun with plenty of rebounding opportunities.
In his lone meeting against the Wizards this season, Sengun recorded a triple-double with 21 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists while shooting 10-of-16 from the field. As long as the Rockets are going to play Sengun heavy minutes, he should have a great chance to reach 11 or more rebounds against this weak Wizards frontcourt.
Pick: Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds |
Stephen Curry, Under 28.5 Points (-110)
| Spread | Warriors -17 |
| Time | TV | 3:30 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
The Warriors are in a meaningful game on the last day of the regular season. They can clinch a playoff berth with a victory and may even climb into the No. 5 seed if the Clippers slip up and lose to the Suns. The Warriors are a pitiful 10-30 on the road this season, but they are 17-point favorites against the tanking Trail Blazers.
Stephen Curry is dealing with a hip contusion, but he is probable to play. The Warriors don't need an explosion game from Curry to beat the Trail Blazers who are without all of their starters. With that said, Curry's under 28.5 points looks like a strong bet. This points prop seems too high with injury and blowout risk on the table.
Even if Curry plays 30+ minutes, he is capable of not reaching this over. He has failed to score 29 points in two of his last three games despite averaging 35 minutes per game in his two misses. The Trail Blazers are a cupcake matchup, but I would take this Curry under points prop down to 25.5 points given all of the risk today.
Pick: Stephen Curry Under 28.5 Points |
Anthony Edwards, Over 25.5 Points (-120)
| Spread | Timberwolves -3.5 |
| Time | TV | 3:30 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass |
| Best Line | FanDuel |
The game of the day features the Timberwolves hosting the Pelicans for a chance to claim the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are 3.5-point favorites, but they have really struggled at home recently. They have a 1-7 record in their last eight games with home losses to the Trail Blazers and Hornets.
The Timberwolves are playing on a back-to-back after beating the Spurs 151-131 last night. Anthony Edwards scored a game-high 33 points on 13-of-25 shooting from the field. It was the third time in his last five games where Edwards scored over 30 points. Edwards has also averaged a 40.8% Usage Rate in his last three games.
The Pelicans rank sixth in Defensive Rating this season, but Edwards has dominated this matchup, averaging 32 points per game in his two meetings with them. Edwards plays much better at home, averaging 25.9 points, while attempting 20.5 field goals per game. In a must-win game, look for Edwards to take over offensively today.
Pick: Anthony Edwards Over 25.5 Points |
