Tonight we have an awesome Game 7 in the Eastern Conference finals that seemed improbable just a week ago. We’re looking at two Miami Heat players for our Monday PrizePicks plays tonight.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to payout up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Caleb Martin More Than 15 Points
This projection has been steadily on the rise and for good reason. This postseason, Caleb Martin is averaging 13.4 points per game. Over the past 10 games, that average increases to 14.1 points per game and 18.2 in this series. Martin has scored 15 in five of the first six games in this series. That includes games of 25 points as well as 21 points on Saturday night.
Martin is averaging 29.8 minutes per game this postseason and that has increased to 34.2 in this series. Martin has picked up some of Kevin Love's minutes as the Celtics are a bad matchup for him and he has also been dealing with back and ankle injuries. Love is 12.4 minutes per game in this series and he got a DNP on Saturday.
Additionally, Miami's stars Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo (who I will touch on below) have struggled a bit in the last three games. In the last three games, Butler is 22.3 points and shooting 36% from the field. He was 5-for-21 from the field on Saturday.
Compare that to Martin, who is shooting 58.3% from the field in this series and has shot above 50% in five of the six games. Miami likely needs a big performance from Butler to win this game, however they will also need big performances from role players like Martin
Bam Adebayo Less Than 17 Points
After averaging 21 points per game in the first two games of this series, Bam Adebayo has not topped 17 points since. He is averaging 12.5 points per game over his past four games. He scored 16 points in game 5, but other than that, he has not threatened this projection in the past four games.
In games 3 and 4, Adebayo took just shot 11 shots combined. Game 3 was a blowout and Miami did not need much offense from him. He has been more aggressive over the past two games, averaging 15.5 attempts. On Saturday night, Adebayo played 46 minutes, but he shot just for 4-for-16 from the field. Boston, particularly Robert Williams III, has made him it particularly for him to score around the rim. Miami shot 35.4% from the field and were below 30% in the paint. Despite his impact, Williams' minutes have been sporadic. However, you think that he plays in a big role in game 7 where Boston will need him to limit Adebayo.
Adebayo did not turn the ball over in game 6, but he has struggled with them in this series. He has had three turnovers in four games in this series, including six in game 5. If Boston continues to pressure him in the paint, that will not only led to turnovers. but also Adebayo scoring less than 17 points.
