A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to payout up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs, which features Game 3 between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat at 8:30 p.m. ET.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player squares in which you combine two or more plays together.
Robert Williams Less Than 15.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists
Similar to our D'Angelo Russell less than square last night, we're looking at Robert Williams III less than 15.5 points, rebounds and assists tonight. There is a pretty good chance that Williams goes back to the bench, and the Celtics instead start Derrick White.
Coach Joe Mazzulla went with White over Williams to start the second half of Game 2 as the Celtics' big lineup with Williams and Horford has not nearly been as effective against the Heat as it was against the 76ers. Adjustments will be made for Game 3, and that is one of them.
Williams is a perfect 11 of 11 from the field through the first two games while averaging 13.5 points per game. His rebounds are down to five per game as he has just one assist in back-to-back games. This is an anticipation bet, but sportsbooks are favoring less than 15.5 points, rebounds and assists tonight. Expect scoring regression from Williams as the Heat were second in the entire league in allowing 46.1 points per game in the paint during the regular season.
Caleb Martin More Than 11 Points
With Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo out, Caleb Martin has been the Heat's third-leading scorer behind Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. He is averaging 12.2 points per game during the playoffs while shooting 55.2% from the field. Martin has increased his production in this series to 20 points per game and made 17 of 27 from the field, including six of 14 from beyond the arc. Martin recorded a playoff-high 23% Usage Rate in Game 2 as he scored 25 points off the bench.
Not only has Martin's production increased, but so has his playing time. He has played 30+ minutes in back-to-back games, which is providing more than enough time to reach 12 or more points. Playing at home, expect Martin to provide scoring support for Butler and Adebayo.
