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You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.
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Jaylen Brown More Than 26.5 Points
Jaylen Brown has put together quite a series thus far for the Boston Celtics. He is averaging 25.6 points per game on 54.6% shooting from the field and 44% from the 3-point line. In fact, Brown has topped this projection in three of the five games thus far. Brown has seen an uptick in shot attempts over the past two games, attempting close to 23 shots per game. Additionally, Brown is averaging 37.4 minutes per game.
However, the most interesting stat may be the fact that Brown has played better on the road. During the regular season, Brown’s shooting numbers were significantly better on the road as he shot 1.3% better from the field. Furthermore, Brown shot 8.6% better from the 3-point line on the road.
In this series, Brown is shooting 44% from the 3-point line and is attempting an average of five from beyond the arc. Based on his shot volume and the situation the Celtics are in, I'm expecting a big night from Brown. Back him to score more than 26.5 points.
Onyeka Okongwu Less Than 8 Points
Onyeka Okongwu has had a tough series. Okongwu is only averaging six points per game in this series and has scored more than eight points just once (Game 5). Okongwu had a series-high nine shot attempts in the last game, though that was in Murray's absence, meaning there were about 23 extra shot attempts to be had.
However, Okongwu has only averaged 22.3 minutes and 4.2 shot attempts per game in this series against the Celtics. We know there are no offensive plays run for Okongwu, so most of his points come on second-chance opportunities.
Additionally, Okongwu finds himself in foul trouble often, which cuts into his playing time. In fact, Okongwu has two games where he has had at least five fouls. Based on the shot volume and minutes played in this series, I find it difficult to envision Okongwu having a successful night scoring the basketball.
