The Pistons square off against the Knicks in Game 2 of their first round Eastern Conference Playoff series on Monday night.
Continue below for my NBA player prop pick for Pistons vs. Knicks on Monday, April 21.
NBA Player Prop Pick for Monday, April 21
- Josh Hart (Knicks) Under 5.5 Assists (+102, FanDuel)
Josh Hart Under 5.5 Assists (+102)
Knicks vs Pistons, 7:30 p.m. ET
I cashed Hart’s over in Game 1, but we’re pivoting for Game 2. He finished with 6 assists despite foul trouble (just 29.5 minutes), but his Pass Mix had him closer to 4.2 expected assists — maybe 5.3 with full minutes.
Still, 6 assists on just 9 potentials is a high conversion rate, with a few coming off offensive boards and fast breaks — harder to rely on.
His pass rate dipped to 1.33 per minute, and three of his assists to Brunson came in spots where timing and luck did most of the work (+2.5 over expected). I’m projecting this under closer to -135, so happy to flip sides here and sell high.
Pick: Josh Hart Under 5.5 Assists (+102)
