The NBA is back with a relatively light slate this Monday, featuring a total of only 7 matchups on the slate for tonight.
Below, we've compiled a few plays to use on PrizePicks and Underdog for Monday's NBA games from RotoGrinders — coming from both the NBA pick'em analysis page and the projections page. You can get all the plays with a RotoGrinders subscription.
NBA PrizePicks & Underdog Plays for Monday, December 16
- Guerschon Yabusele More Than 16.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
- Jakob Poeltl More Than 16.5 Points
- Kelly Oubre More Than 7.5 Rebounds & Assists
Guerschon Yabusele More Than 16.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
76ers vs. Hornets, 7 p.m. ET
With Joel Embiid already ruled out for the 76ers tonight, this number is far too low.
Guerschon Yabusele has gotten only 14 minutes in each of the last two games, but with no Embiid, he should go back to playing in the low-30 minutes range.
Yabusele has been good on a per-minute basis this season, averaging a stat line of 9.6/5.4/1.9 in 24 minutes per game.
If we assume that he only plays in the mid-20 minutes tonight, then this line is probably about right considering the Hornets are below average in pace and defensively.
But if we assume high-20s or low-30s, which I am, then this number is drastically too low.
Pick: Guerschon Yabusele More Than 16.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
Jakob Poeltl More Than 16.5 Points
Bulls vs. Raptors, 7:30 p.m. ET
Jakob Poeltl to score more than 16.5 points against the Bulls tonight appears to be a strong prediction based on the current data.
The line of 16.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations.
Poeltl has fallen short of 17 points in each of his last two games for the Raptors. However, prior to that, he went over the number in four straight outings, while scoring 20+ points in two of those contests.
Our model projects a 65.66% for him to clear this number based on the assumptions, and that represents a 11.12% edge.
Pick: Jakob Poeltl More Than 16.5 Points
Kelly Oubre More Than 7.5 Rebounds & Assists
76ers vs. Hornets, 7 p.m. ET
By ShotQuality
The ShotQuality NBA Model recommends the backing Kelly Oubre to eclipse this rebounds & assists line against the Hornets tonight.
Oubre has been on fire in the rebounding department for the Sixers lately, having collected 10+ rebounds in three straight games entering tonight, which would be enough to clear this number on its own.
At the current line of 7.5, there appears to be a decent amount of value in this market based on the ShotQuality's NBA Projections. We project a 54.7% chance of him clearing this line tonight using our evaluation, and that represents a 7.08% edge.
You can find all ShotQuality evaluations in the ShotQuality NBA Model, available now on RotoGrinders.com as part of the ShotQuality Projections subscription.
