It's 3 p.m. somewhere! That means it's time for a couple more 3-point props from tonight's NBA playoff slate.
I've got three bets that are showing value from tonight's slate, including Jalen Brunson and Tyrese Haliburton in Pacers vs. Knicks, and Anthony Edwards in Timberwolves vs. Nuggets.
As a reminder, you can follow all of my picks as I track them live in the Action App.
NBA Props Tonight
Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:30 p.m. | |
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| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Pacers vs. Knicks
Jalen Brunson
Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+120)
Jalen Brunson cleared this line in only three of his six games in the first round and in just one of his three home games — and that one went to overtime.
Brunson shot only 30% from 3-point range in Round 1, and fewer than 25% of his attempts came from 3-point range.
Meanwhile, the Pacers allowed the fewest 3-point attempts in the NBA during the regular season.
Brunson has proven he can get his points in other ways, such as from the midrange and the free-throw line. He averaged 10 free-throw attempts per game in Round 1 compared to just 6.5 during the regular season.
Brunson isn't as reliant on the 3-pointer when compared to some of his teammates like Donte DiVincenzo or Miles McBride.
There's also this random trend: Brunson has played in seven Game 1s in his career, and he's 3-for-27 from 3-point range in those seven games.
Pick: Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+120)
Tyrese Haliburton
Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+100)
Tyrese Haliburton had a couple of good games against the Bucks in Round 1, but he shot just 29% from 3-point range in the series.
In all honestly, the elephant in the room is that Haliburton hasn't been shooting well for months. He averaged only 2.3 3-pointers made per game after the All-Star break.
Also, this round is a way tougher matchup for Haliburton than he saw against the Bucks in Round 1. The Knicks were a top-five defense this year in terms of points per game, and they will make adjustments throughout individual games and the series, working to limit possessions and make Haliburton get off the ball or funnel him toward the basket.
This is in stark contrast to the Bucks, who played drop coverage and basically dared him to shoot.
I would bet this at anything plus-money.
Pick: Tyrese Haliburton Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+100)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Anthony Edwards
Under 2.5 3-Pointers (-105)
This is a bet that's mostly banking on regression.
Anthony Edwards torched the Nuggets in Game 1, but he went 3-for-7 from 3-point range, and all three of those triples came in the first half. He was 0-for-4 from 3-point range in the second half.
The Nuggets defense clearly adjusted to him in the second half from 3-point range. He also cashed the over on this prop in just one of his four games against Denver during the regular season.
I'm counting on a bounce-back performance from Denver as a whole and expect the Nuggets to limit Minnesota from behind the arc in a similar fashion to what they did against Los Angeles, which made just nine 3-pointers per game in the first round.
Also, Edwards has proven to be adept and efficient at getting to the rim. Neither Aaron Gordon nor Michael Porter Jr. could stay in front of him in Game 1, so much like Brunson, I'm expecting Edwards to get his points in other ways than behind the arc.
Pick: Anthony Edwards Under 2.5 3-Pointers (-105)
