Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs take on the Dallas Mavericks this Thursday, October 24. It will be highly entertaining to see Wemby’s leap, as well as how the new pieces fit for the Mavericks.
Keep reading for my NBA same-game parlay for this Spurs vs Mavericks matchup.
NBA Same-Game Parlay for Spurs vs Mavericks
- First Quarter Alternate Spread: Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (-135)
- Victor Wembanyama Under 4.5 Blocks (-140)
Parlay Odds: +184 on DraftKings
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
First Quarter Alternate Spread: Mavericks -1.5 (-135)
7:30 p.m. ET on TNT
It’s clear that the Mavericks’ starting lineup has a significant edge here.
Outside of bench guard Stephon Castle, who is guarding Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving? San Antonio’s perimeter defense remains a huge work in progress, which makes Dallas their worst nightmare because almost all of their creation comes from their All-Star duo.
Klay Thompson adds a new level of off-ball movement and gravity that should be absolutely deadly next to the stars. Hiding Paul on him is a nonstarter for the Spurs since the veteran will be crushed on off-ball screens and essentially hand Thompson a clean catch-and-shoot triple.
P.J. Washington also spaces the court, while Dereck Lively brings a vertical threat to the unit who makes Wembanyama think twice about roaming too far away.
On the other end, Wemby is inevitable, yet Lively is one of the better options to throw at the extraterrestrial. He’s long, quick, and anticipates well. Washington’s strength can let him occasionally hold his own versus Wemby.
The Mavs will also trot out superior reserves once the first lineup changes occur near the middle or end of the quarter. Overall, Dallas should win the quarter by at least a bucket.
Pick: First Quarter Alternate Spread — Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (-135)
Victor Wembanyama Under 4.5 Blocks (-140)
7:30 p.m. ET on TNT
Do I feel comfortable taking this line? No way. But it’s the correct play to me.
Dallas ranked second in 3-point attempt rate and first in jump-shot frequency last season. They love to rain down shots from the perimeter, and adding Klay Thompson and Quentin Grimes only doubles down on that strategy. Meanwhile, Lively and Gafford are both lob threats who do not operate as post-up bigs or challenge centers in isolation.
What does that all mean? Wemby is facing an offense that does not allow many block attempts. Dallas’ shot profile indicates the under, and there’s still plenty of breathing room to adjust for the fact that it’s Wemby we are talking about here. Even if he records four blocks, the under still hits.
Pick: Victor Wembanyama Under 4.5 Blocks (-140)
