Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds
Grizzlies Odds | -6.5 |
Warriors Odds | +6.5 |
Moneyline | -250 / +200 |
Over/Under | 229.5 |
Time | 8 p.m. ET |
TV | ABC |
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. |
This is an NBA Playoff rematch that everyone wanted to see: Stephen Curry and the reigning champion Warriors against Ja Morant and the up-and-coming Grizzlies. Well, injuries have tried their best to steal our Christmas joy, but that doesn't mean we can't bet this game.
Before we get to the bets, I should note that I made these plays before the lines moved to their current numbers, so the odds below reflect what you'd get if you played alternate lines.
Let's dig into our NBA Same Game Parlay that features two Christmas Day picks for Grizzlies vs. Bucks.
NBA Same Game Parlay Odds
The Parlay: (+230)
- Grizzlies -4.5
- Jordan Poole Over 23.5
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5
The Golden State Warriors are terrible without Stephen Curry. The Warriors have played seven games this season without him and they are 1–6 in those games with an averaging scoring margin of -17.0.
Put another way, without Curry in games so far this season, the Warriors are being outscored by about one point every six possessions. That's abysmal and would basically make Golden State the worst team in the league over a full season. Three of those six losses were by 30 or more, and all but one of them was by at least nine points.
Without Curry, the Warriors aren't just bad - they're not even competitive. Well, Santa isn't bringing Curry for Christmas this year, so this rematch against a good, feisty Grizzlies team could get ugly. Andrew Wiggins is a question as well, and Klay Thompson continues to be listed as day-to-day.
As for the Grizzlies, they're 8–2 in December, with every win by at least eight points, covering this spread with ease. Ja Morant is playing MVP level ball, and Jaren Jackson has immediately brought this defense back up to a high level too. This is a team that already gave a healthy champion Warriors team all it could handle in the playoffs, and they will want this one badly.
The Warriors will always be a public team, Steph or not, especially at home. But when Curry's out, home, away, or on the moon doesn't seem to matter for this team. The fact that it's a public Christmas game at home is buying us some value on this line.
Give me the Grizzlies to cover, and I don't blame you if you want to consider an alternate line for a big win. Memphis should roll.
Jordan Poole Over 23.5
The one guy who has thrived without Curry this season is Jordan Poole. He is more Splash Cousin than third Splash Brother when all three guys play, but when Steph is sidelined, Poole ups the volume in a big way.
In seven games without Curry this season, Poole is scoring 27.6 PPG with 4.3 assists too. He's scored at least 20 points in all but one Curry-less game, and he's hit 26 or more in all but two. That also includes two explosions with 36 and 43 points. When the shots start falling - especially with the home crowd roaring - it can turn into a Poole Party in a hurry.
Andrew Wiggins is a question mark for Christmas too, and even Klay Thompson is playing through some nagging injuries. Poole should get all the volume he can handle, and he tends to play a big role even when the game gets away so that's important here too.
Poole is averaging 25.8 PPG as a starter, and even more with Curry out. This line is a couple points too low. I'll play Poole to go over 23.5 points, and I can't help but sprinkle a little bit of my bet on +850 to score 35 too in case we get a little Christmas Poole Party.
Editor's Note: If you bet Poole at his current line of 25.5 and the Grizzlies at -6.5 at BetMGM, your payout would be +360.