The Nuggets have stormed out to a 2-0 series lead over the Timberwolves on account of Nikola Jokic's strong play — the big man almost put up triple-doubles in each of the first two games.
It's why he's in contention for his third straight NBA MVP.
For Game 3 between the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves from the Minneapolis on Friday night, the Action Network's algorithms don't think the two-time MVP is going to slow down.
We have a set of proprietary betting algorithms that project a betting edge on Jokic's NBA player props on Friday night.
The models consider quantitative and qualitative factors from every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more.
Nikola Jokic Player Prop Predictions, Projections
The algorithms are confident that Jokic will continue his production train for Game 3.
The models expect the Joker to put up 38.09 points and rebounds. That's relative to a market-best line of o35.5 (-115) at BetMGM.
This pick has a roughly 12% betting edge. Essentially, you're receiving a 12% discount from the true fair value price of that line. Another way to think about it: the second you press submit on that wager, you'll be receiving 12% in expected value.
Do keep in mind that these betting models work best when you wager with the same unit sizing for each individual bet.
