The Denver Nuggets (38-20) and Milwaukee Bucks (32-25) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The game will broadcast live on TNT.
The Nuggets are 3.5-point favorites over the Bucks on the spread (Nuggets -3.5), with the over/under set at 240.5 total points. Denver is a -162 favorite to win outright, while Milwaukee is +136 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Nuggets vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, February 27.
Nuggets vs. Bucks Picks, Prediction
Spread
I'm leaning toward passing here. Denver is 9-12 ATS as a road favorite, and Milwaukee is just 2-2 as a home underdog, but 14-13-1 at home ATS in general.
Neither has recent play worth indicating that there's a bad line to exploit or anything like that either.
If you have conviction in a side, go for it
Moneyline
This isn't a Denver-or-nothing spot, but again, it's not one I'll be playing.
Over/Under
Justifiably high total here.
Denver has hit the over in 35 of 58 games this season, the third most in the league, while Milwaukee has just 28 of 58 — with only six teams having a higher under percentage.
So, I'll play a prop tonight instead.
My Pick: Jamal Murray Over 26.5 Points + Assists (-115)
Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 240.5 -110o / -110u | -162 |
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 240.5 -110o / -110u | +136 |
- Nuggets vs. Bucks spread: Denver -3.5
- Nuggets vs. Bucks over/under: 240.5 total points
- Nuggets vs. Bucks moneyline: Denver -162, Milwaukee +136
- Nuggets vs. Bucks best bet: Jamal Murray Over 26.5 Points + Assists
My Bucks vs. Nuggets best bet is on Jamal Murray Over 26.5 Points + Assists, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
Nuggets vs. Bucks Preview
Jamal Murray Over 26.5 Points + Assists (PA) is where I'm looking. He's gotten this in three of four against Milwaukee, though the first two are irrelevant given the iteration of Milwaukee was different prior to the 2023-24 season.
Still, Murray was injured last game against the Bucks he played in February, limited to 18 minutes.
Murray has gotten this in three of four, and in 10 of 19 since returning to form. Since January 14, he's averaging 25 and 6.
You'd like more consistency, but the highs give you an option for alternate lines. Murray has scored 30 points alone in seven of 19 games, getting 30 PA in eight of those 19.
And against the Bucks, you're getting the second worst defense against opposing point guards, allowing 26 points per game, second to only the Jazz.
If you ladder Murray's points to 25, you're getting +180, and to 30, you're getting +480.
Best Bet: Jamal Murray Over 26.5 Points + Assists (-115, bet365)
Bucks vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
