Thunder vs Mavericks Odds & Prediction: Bet Dallas Spread in Game 6?

Thunder vs Mavericks Odds & Prediction: Bet Dallas Spread in Game 6? article feature image
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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks play Game 6 of their NBA Western Conference semifinal series on Saturday, May 18. The game will be broadcast on ABC at 8 p.m. ET.
  • Thunder vs Mavericks odds have the Mavs as -180 moneyline favorites and -4 on the spread. The over/under is 207.5 (-115o /- 105u).
  • NBA betting expert Bryan Fonseca reveals his Thunder vs Mavericks ATS prediction below.

Thunder vs Mavericks Odds & Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder Logo
Saturday, May 18
8 p.m. ET
ABC
Dallas Mavericks Logo
Oklahoma City Thunder Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4
-112
207.5
-115o / -105u
+150
Dallas Mavericks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4
-108
207.5
-115o / -105u
-180
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
Caesars Logo

Here's everything you need to know about Thunder vs Mavericks on Saturday, May 18 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today's game.

We have a shot at three Game 7s this round, but the Oklahoma City Thunder have the largest uphill climb in doing so, with potentially the greatest reward on the backend.

The Dallas Mavericks are at home in Game 6, a luxury not afforded to either the Denver Nuggets or New York Knicks, both of whom got whooped on the road and will return home for Game 7.

For Dallas, it also means a loss would put them on the road to end the series.

Let's get into my Thunder vs Mavericks pick and prediction for Game 6 on Saturday night.


Header First Logo

Oklahoma City Thunder

Of all the teams who were trailing 3-2 heading into Thursday, OKC was the only one who could get a home Game 7. So while the Indiana Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves handled business at home in Game 6, they're both back on the road for Game 7.

OKC, because of their current predicament, are the only underdog between teams who were trailing 3-2 this round who are a Game 6 underdog. Both the Pacers and Wolves were favored to push to seven, the Thunder aren't.

Barring a Mavericks collapse in Game 4, this really could be over by now.

Every winner in this series has also covered, meaning the Thunder are 2-3 against the spread here.

In the playoffs, OKC has partook in the most total unders by percentage of every team who won a Round 1 series. They're 2-7 to the under.


Header First Logo

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavs, tied with Denver, are 4-7 to the under in the playoffs, second by percentage behind OKC for most unders in the playoffs amongst all the relevant teams.

The Mavs have the second-best record against the spread in the playoffs, too, at 7-4 ATS, trailing only the Wolves, who are 7-3.

Additionally, Dallas is 3-2 ATS this series.

Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are guys to watch on the player prop market. Neither have exploded and could be "buy low" options at home.

Doncic is at 28.5 points, in which he has two overs in this series — 29 and 31 respectively. His rebounds are listed at 10.5, which he's only gone over twice. If you could find a 9.5, that's a nice over, given that he's cleared in four straight — but two were ten exactly.

For Irving, his points are at 19.5, and while he's cleared twice, he's gotten three unders that weren't even close: 12, 9 and 9. Assists are at 5.5, though, and he cleared in three straight before tallying four in Game 5.


Header First Logo

Thunder vs. Mavericks

Betting Pick & Prediction

I loved Dallas before the season began, I took them to win this series in six, and I have a longshot ticket on them to win the West. So this is Dallas or nothing for me, and if they lost, I'd probably still take them on the road in Game 7 against the Thunder.

I may ladder this in the Action App before tip-off.

Pick: Mavericks -3.5 (-110) 

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About the Author
Bryan Fonseca is a contributor for The Action Network specializing in basketball and combat sports. He began betting in 2019 while hosting DraftKings Tonight on MSG Networks. Before joining Action in 2022, Fonseca worked as an on-air host and writer at various outlets, including FanDuel, BasketballNews.com, Futuro Media, SLAM and SB Nation. Currently, he's also a sports editor and on-air analyst for the New York Post, where he covers the NBA, boxing, international basketball, betting and more. 

Follow Bryan Fonseca @bryanfonsecany on Twitter/X.

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