The Orlando Magic (3-3) will take on the Memphis Grizzlies (3-2) at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET.
The oddsmakers see the Mavericks as 6.5-point home favorites over the Magic (Mavericks -7.5), while the total is set at over/under 221 points. Dallas is listed at -258 on the moneyline to win and Orlando is +210.
Read below for my Magic vs. Mavericks prediction and NBA picks for Sunday, Nov. 3.
Magic vs. Mavericks Expert Picks
Pick: Under 221 (-110)
Magic vs. Mavericks Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Magic Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+6.5 -108 | 221 -110 / -110 | +210 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-6.5 -112 | 221 -110 / -110 | -258 |
- Magic vs. Mavericks Odds: Mavericks -6.5 (-112)
- Magic vs. Mavericks Over/Under: 221 points scored
- Magic vs. Mavericks Moneyline: Mavericks -258, Magic +210
Orlando Magic
The Magic are going to have to find ways to create offense without star forward Paolo Banchero. The guy who already won Rookie of the Year in his first season, and was named an all star in his second season, seemingly found a way to hit another gear to start the third.
This is a tough blow for a Magic team who's offensive efficiency and points per 100 possessions drops dramatically without Banchero in the lineup. They will have to find ways to score.
We know their defense can step up, but the spotlight will now be on Suggs and Wagner to be shooters and floor spacers to create room to attack mismatches instead of simply playing through Banchero.
Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks dropped a tough one against the Houston Rockets on Thursday night. With the weekend off before a Sunday game, the Mavericks have been home the entire time, they are healthy and well rested.
They should also be sharp for this game considering the lackluster start against Houston, where they got down early and could never recover enough.
This is a strong situational spot to back the Mavericks, but the pricing also shows it at -8.5.
Magic vs. Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks have taken steam since the open, and this line moved from a -7 out to a -8.5. This is a pretty significant difference knowing that the number -8 has been the 2nd-most common NBA margin outcome over the last three seasons. I do not like to tail steam through key numbers, but I would be ok playing Dallas ML.
While it's pricey, I find situational spots like this where you know you have the early sharp side, it aligns with schedule and injury report, it's a get right spot for Dallas coming off a loss, you can risk one unit and take home a smaller return. I also like the Under 219.5 for a unit play because of the lack of shooting for Orlando combined with the slow pace offense of Dallas.
If Dallas does take an early lead, they do not mind to run high pick-and-rolls for Luka to make decisions over and over again, which can be efficient, but it's slow and eats clock.
Pick: Under 221 (-110)
