Pelicans vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks | Best Bet for Tuesday
Here's everything you need to know about Pelicans vs. Raptors on Tuesday, March 5 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today.
Let's get to our Pelicans vs. Raptors prediction and pick.
Pelicans vs. Raptors Prediction
Pick: Pelicans ML (-425), Under 229 (-110)
Pelicans Betting Outlook
Healthy and on a roll, the Pelicans (-9.5) enter this game as sizable road favorites. They have won 10 of their last 14 games and have gone 6-2 in their last eight road contests, including impressive wins at the Clippers and Pacers.
I prefer to play the Pelicans' moneyline because the spread has gone from an open of 7.5 to its current 9.5, moving through various NBA key numbers. Although it is a steep price to pay at -425, I'll play it for one unit and take home less in return. We do not need to increase exposure just because the vig is high.
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Raptors Betting Outlook
Raptors coach Darko Rajakovic had quite the proposal for his players recently. He said that if they won three straight he would buy them dinner. Last week, the Raptors celebrated with a pizza party after practice.
Things have gone south since. Last Friday, they lost Scottie Barnes to a hand injury, and the wheels look like they're about to fall off.
Bruce Brown is going tonight's game, and Jakob Poeltl is slated to be out as well.
The Raptors are going to be fully committed to a youth movement with Immanuel Quickley, Ochai Agbaji and RJ Barrett.
I think they will have a tough time keeping up and will lack some floor spacing, pacing and playmaking.
Pelicans vs. Raptors Picks, Odds
| Pelicans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 228.5 -115o / -105u | -425 |
| Raptors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 228.5 -115o / -105u | +330 |
Since returning from the All Star break, unders have been cashing at a staggeringly high rate — close to 70%. While its a relatively small sample size, the trend needs some contextualizing to see why it's happening and whether we can expect it to continue.
NBA Commissioner Adam Silver said during All Star Weekend that the league was going to review rules that favor the extreme offensive outputs we have been seeing, and coming out of the break more illegal screens are being called, and it appears refs are letting players play through more contact.
It has led to a run on unders and opening lines moving down. I believe it is a trend worth playing into until the game reacts or the market catches up.
Pick: Pelicans ML (-425, DraftKings), Under 229 (-110, FanDuel)
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