The Philadelphia 76ers (1-5) visit the Los Angeles Clippers (3-4) on NBA Wednesday, tipping off at 10 p.m. from the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif. The game will be broadcast on League Pass.
The Clippers are 1.5-point favorites over the Sixers on the spread (Sixers -1.5), with the over/under currently at 216.5 points. The Clippers are -120 favorites on the moneyline to win outright, while the 76ers are +100 to pull off the upset.
Let's dive into my 76ers vs. Clippers predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 6.
76ers vs. Clippers Picks and Predictions
Moneyline
With Paul George back, the odds shifted toward the Sixers, but once the line moved to Sixers -1.5, the market immediately responded and moved back to listing the Clippers as the favorite.
I have the Clippers projected as having a 61.5% win probability based on power rating, compared to 53.92% for the best price in the market (BetRivers, -117).
Here's a supporting trend: Eastern Conference teams on a West Coast road trip with a season ATS margin of less than -5 (Sixers are -6.3) are 7-28 straight up. Underdogs in that spot are 4-25. Eastern Conference road 'dogs as less than four-point 'dogs are 125-143 straight up.
Matchup wise, George came back last game and shot 4-of-14 from the field. It's going to take a while for him to get acclimated, and doing so on the road where there's very little practice time is not an ideal environment.
The Clippers are better in half-court offense, half-court defense, transition offense and transition defense. Transition is a problem for the Sixers as they're bottom-five in that category. Meanwhile, the Clippers are top-five in efficiency and top-10 in transition points per game, via Synergy Sports.
Pick: Clippers Moneyline (-117)
Spread
This handicap is largely synonymous with the moneyline, but I do make this Clippers -3.5 vs. the market line of -1.5.
Our pro projections make this game Clippers -1.9, and inPredictable's market ratings would make this Clippers -2.9 (with 2.5 points of home-court advantage applied).
Over/Under
The total on this game opened at 218 and has moved to 216.5. We've tracked sharp money coming in on the under in our PRO signals, but we project the game to go over. I make this game 224.6, so I obviously lean heavily toward the over.
The Sixers' defense shouldn't be boosted substantially by George's return. Both of these teams have middle-of-the-pack defenses, schedule adjusted (Clippers 12th, Sixers 15th at DunksAndThrees.com), and both are slower in offensive pace (Clippers 24th, Sixers 17th). So even with the transition defensive issues for the Sixers, it might not impact the total much.
Pick: Clippers -1 (-110)
My 76ers vs. Clippers best bet is Clippers -1. The best line is available at FanDuel, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
76ers vs. Clippers Odds
76ers Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 214.5 -110/-110 | +100 |
Clippers Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 214.5 -110/-110 | -120 |
- 76ers vs. Clippers Odds: Clippers -1.5
- 76ers vs. Clippers Over/Under: 214.5
- 76ers vs. Clippers Moneyline: 76ers +100, Clippers -120
76ers vs. Clippers Prediction
I predict the Clippers will take care of business and get the win as a short favorite vs. a team trying to acclimate to new personnel on a West Coast road trip with an extra night off to enjoy the Los Angeles nightlife.
Pick: Clippers -1
76ers vs. Clippers Starting Lineups
76ers Starting Lineup
PG: Tyrese Maxey
SG: Caleb Martin
SF:Kelly Oubre Jr.
PF: Paul George
C: Andre Drummond
Clippers Starting Lineup
PG: James Harden
SG: Terance Mann
SF: Norman Powell
PF: Derrick Jones Jr.
C: Ivica Zubac
76ers vs. Clippers Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
Location: | Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif. |
Date: | Wednesday, November 6 |
Time: | 10 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming Options: | ESPN |