The Detroit Pistons (38-31) and Miami Heat (29-39) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kaseya Center in Miami, Fla. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Pistons are 5-point favorites over the Heat on the spread (Pistons -5), with the over/under set at 217 total points. Detroit is a -198 favorite to win outright, while Miami is +164 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Pistons vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, March 19.
Pistons vs. Heat Picks, Prediction
Spread
My Pistons vs. Heat best bet is on Detroit to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at Fanatics. But, as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in tonight's matchup.
My Pick: Pistons -5
Pistons vs Heat Odds
| Pistons Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5 -112 | 217 -108o / -112u | -198 |
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5 -108 | 217 -108o / -112u | +164 |
- Pistons vs. Heat spread: Pistons -5
- Pistons vs. Heat over/under: 217 points
- Pistons vs. Heat moneyline: Pistons -198, Heat +164
- Pistons vs. Heat best bet: Pistons -5
Pistons vs. Heat Preview
The Pistons and Heat wrap up their season series on Wednesday night with both teams headed in opposite directions.
The upstart Pistons are firmly entrenched as the No. 6 seed in the East and are within a half game of the fifth-place Bucks. The Pistons are on their way to reaching the postseason for the first time since 2019 and posting their first winning record since 2016.
Meanwhile, the Heat are mired in an eight-game losing streak after blowing another double-digit lead in a loss to the Knicks on Monday. This is the longest losing streak for the Heat under future Hall of Fame coach Erik Spoelstra. The Heat have plummeted to 10th in the East, the final spot for the Play-In tournament.
The Heat won the first meeting in Miami and the Pistons took the next two in Detroit. However, this is the first matchup between the teams since the departure of Jimmy Butler.
Andrew Wiggins (lower leg) is questionable for the Heat and Jaden Ivey (lower leg) is out for the Pistons.
Frustratingly, despite having capable veterans in Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, the Heat have floundered in the wake of Butler being dealt to the Warriors. The Heat especially miss Butler in crunch time. In the past 10 games, the Heat have a net rating of -23.8 in the fourth quarter. Also in that stretch, the Heat are last in offensive rating.
Anchored by budding superstar Cade Cunningham and steady center Jalen Duren, the Pistons are rolling. In their past 10 games, the Pistons lead the league in defensive rating and have the fourth-best net rating. The Pistons routed the Pelicans by 46 points on Monday.
The Heat have dropped five in a row at home and that trend will continue. The Pistons are too locked in and focused for a slip up right now. They'll cover the spread for an easy road victory.
Pistons vs. Heat Prediction
Best Bet: Pistons -5
Same Game Parlay Picks
- Cade Cunningham 35+ points
- Jalen Duran 16+ rebounds
- Tyler Herro Over 33.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists
Parlay Payout: +6000
Heat vs Pistons Betting Trends
