Here's everything you need to know about the Toronto Raptors vs the Phoenix Suns on Thursday, March 7 — my expert prediction and betting picks for today.
The latest Raptors vs Suns odds have the Suns -10 and the total set at over/under 233 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Raptors vs Suns tips off at 9 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass.
Let's get to my Raptors vs Suns pick and Raptors vs Suns prediction for Thursday as we break down the latest NBA odds.
Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns Picks, Prediction Today | NBA Odds
Raptors Betting Outlook
The narrative after the Raptors recent three game win streak was that they played with extra motivation because the coach promised a free team dinner. The stats and the eye test tells a much different story — the difference was the pace of their offense.
The Raptors rank in the top-10 in the NBA in offensive efficiency over the last week, and were ranked 3rd in scoring during the win streak. The Raptors did lose Scottie Barnes to a hand injury, however, I am not concerned playing an over without him.
Barnes is a tremendous defender and decent shooter. He will be replaced by an additional floor spacer and worse defender.
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Suns Betting Outlook
The story of the season has been bad health for this Suns team. Beal missed chunks at a time, and then right when he seems to be ready, Booker goes down. Despite being without Devin Booker, the Suns still have some crazy offensive firepower in Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal, Jusuf Nurkic, and some shooters to flank like Grayson Allen and Eric Gordon.
The lineups the Suns have been featuring have a bunch of knock down shooters and great rebounders. It has been a recipe for scoring.
The Suns are the clear sharp side of this game, I don't mind the moneyline despite feeling the spread is too heavy, and I like the over at 231.5.
Raptors vs Suns Picks, NBA Odds
| Raptors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+10 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | +375 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-10 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | -500 |
It has been very difficult to get a read on the NBA totals market for the last week. The numbers are dropping heavily because of the way the game is being officiated — more bumps allowed on defense and more illegal screens called on offense.
When I look towards the Suns and Raptors, I see teams that do not prioritize getting to the free throw line and continue to play at a fast pace.
For that reason, I think we can buy the general dip NBA totals and say this league wide trend may not apply to these teams and their respective play style. I would play this up to 232.5.
Pick: Over 231.5 | Play to 233
