The San Antonio Spurs (22-60 last season) visit the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on NBA Thursday, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET from Dallas, Texas. The game is airing live on TNT and streaming on Max and other streaming apps.
The Mavericks are 8.5-point favorites over the Spurs (+8.5) on the spread, with the over/under currently at 229.5 points. The Mavericks are -360 favorites on the moneyline to win outright, while the Spurs are +285 to pull off the upset.
Let's dive into my Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, October 24.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction
My Best Bet
Jeremy Sochan to Score 15+ Points (+180)
The over/under for this game shows this one is expected to be on the high-scoring side, and the Spurs will need players not named Victor Wembanyama to step up. Jeremy Sochan is coming off a strong preseason that finished with him scoring 18 and 15 points, and as someone who makes his living around the basket, he will get easier looks with Chris Paul leading the offense.
For all of your NBA bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NBA odds page.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 229 -110o / -109u | +285 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 229 -110o / -109u | -360 |
- Spurs vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -8.5
- Spurs vs. Mavericks over/under: 229.5 points
- Spurs vs. Mavericks moneyline: Mavericks -360, Spurs +285
- Spurs vs. Mavericks best bet:Jeremy Sochan to Score 15+ Points (+180)
Spread
The sizeable spread here reflects the expectations each team has heading into the season. The Spurs may eventually turn into a contender, but there still isn't enough around Wembanyama.
Last year's second-leading scorer Devin Vassell being out with a foot injury doesn't help to keep it close with a team that reached the NBA Finals last season — especially on the road.
Over/Under
This game features some of the best and most unique scorers in the league. Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, and Thompson lead the Mavs, while Wembanyama fronts a Spurs team that is expecting young players to take a step forward with help from veteran point guard Chris Paul. Last season, the Mavs were eighth in the NBA in offensive rating while the Spurs were 26th, and that was with Vassell in the lineup.
Moneyline
When last we saw the Mavs, they were losing to the Boston Celtics in the Finals, and since then, they've added former Warriors star Klay Thompson. On paper, and likely the court, this is a mismatch, which is why betting on Dallas to win will not earn you much of a payout, whereas picking a Spurs upset would provide a nice little prize.
My pick: Jeremy Sochan to Score 15+ Points (+180)
Spurs vs. Mavericks Betting Trends
- 73% of bets and 67% of the money are on the Mavericks to cover the spread
- 96% of bets and 97% of the money on the moneyline are on the Mavericks to win outright
- 79% of bets and 52% of the money are on the over
Betting trends via our live, updating NBA public betting & money percentages page.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Start Time, Channel, Streaming
| Location: | American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas |
| Date: | Thursday, October 24 |
| Kickoff Time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | TNT / Max, YouTube TV |
Mavericks vs. Spurs is scheduled for a 7:30 p.m. ET start time, live from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas on Thursday. The game is live on TNT and is streaming on Max and YouTube TV.
Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA Preview
San Antonio Spurs: Building Around Wemby
The Spurs have what appears to be the beginning of one of the league's better teams — just maybe not this season.
The No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 draft, Wembanyama is a unicorn with his combination of size and skill. A double-double machine, he averaged 21.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 3.6 blocks per game as a rookie. Growth is expected, especially on the offensive end of the floor.
While he understandably gets most of the attention, his presence opens things up for Vassell, who averaged 19.5 points per game last season and has seen his scoring go up every season he has been in the league. A career 38% 3-point shooter, he is a key cog for the Spurs, who will be out until at least November.
Picking up the slack will be Johnson, who averaged 15.7 points per game last season, and Sochan, who scored 11.6 per outing last season for the Spurs and connected on nearly 66% of his shots in four games this preseason.
Newcomers Paul, who dished out 6.8 assists per game last season in a limited role, Harrison Barnes (12.2 points per game with Sacramento), and rookie 4th overall pick Stephon Castle, out of UConn, will also be looked to for offense.
Last year's Spurs played at the league's third-fastest pace while boasting the NBA's top assist percentage, but that was without the veteran Paul at the point.
Dallas Mavericks: Can Dallas Go All the Way?
The Mavericks are coming off a trip to the Finals and have every expectation of making it back. The last series notwithstanding, they finished the season about as strong as anyone and looked to have upgraded the top of their roster over the offseason, albeit at the expense of some depth.
Dallas is still centered around Doncic, who nearly averaged a triple-double last season with 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game. A threat to shoot from everywhere on the floor, at his size, he is one of the game's most difficult matchups.
If and when Doncic is off, however, Irving is another star. He averaged 25.6 points per game last season, his first full campaign with Dallas, along with 5.2 assists and five rebounds. It was, incidentally, his lowest scoring average since 2018-19, but his 41.1% mark from 3 was one of the highest of his career.
Adding Thompson to the mix could make Dallas, who last season had the NBA's eighth-best offensive rating, move up quite a bit. The former Warriors star has struggled to stay healthy in recent seasons and is coming off a down season — at least by his standards — but is still one of the game's elite 3-point shooters. He should find plenty of open looks playing alongside Doncic and Irving, similar to what he experienced with Golden State and Steph Curry.
Offensively gifted, the Mavericks are set to rely heavily on P.J. Washington for defense and toughness. He averaged 11.7 points and 6.2 rebounds per game last season while spending much of his time shooting corner 3s. A career 35.4% 3-point shooter, he was at 31.4% last season.
