Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks for Thursday, Feb. 29
Here's everything you need to know about Thunder vs. Spurs on Thursday, Feb. 29 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today.
Let's get to our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction and pick.
Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction
Pick: Under 237 (-110)
Thunder Betting Outlook
Watch out! The Thunder are not only one of the league's best teams, they are currently one of the hottest. The Thunder enter this contest versus the Spurs as winners of six straight and undefeated since the All-Star Break. They are pushing for that 1-seed in the Western Conference and per DraftKings, are the odds on favorite to land there.
Another win is likely in store as the Thunder are double-digit favorites against the spread and a -550 on the moneyline. The real play here is the under. We are already seeing the total drop from 239.5 down to 237.
The spotlight will be on the Chet-Wemby rematch – while it is narrative based and something I do not like to take seriously, these guys clearly do! If we see another big man duel, the ball slows, the offense gets into halfcourt sets, the pace is slow — and the under flourishes. The Thunder are also bottom half of the league in 3-point frequency stats.
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Spurs Betting Outlook
We have to judge process before results for this San Antonio team, and while they have lost 12 of their last 13, I truly believe they are playing much better basketball. The games are closer with both the offense scoring more and the defense allowing less.
The lineups and rotations the Spurs play are cleaner and make old school basketball sense. The Spurs have a clean bill of health in this contest and we will see the young Spurs try and take on the blossoming young Thunder. I expect a physical defensive effort for the Spurs at home.
Thunder vs. Spurs Picks, Odds
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-11 -110 | 237 -110 / -110 | -600 |
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+11 -110 | 237 -110 / -110 | +450 |
The early market trends have been towards the Spurs and the under. While the Spurs are home, the Thunder are on a Texas road trip having just played Houston twice, and make the short trip to San Antonio tonight.
It is not much of a travel advantage, and no rest disparity between the teams. For that reason, I can foresee the Thunder still running it up as they did against Houston who was getting some steam.
My favorite play here is the under, as I expect a physical defensive effort — teams who have the size to match one another at various positions, and players who have narrative story lines that the folks at home will definitely be watching.
Expect a chippy battle that goes under. I even like some escalator unders, look at alternate lines — under 230 and 225 at plus-money. Split up your unit with 0.75u on the 238, and a quarter unit on a ladder number.
Pick: Under 237 (-110)
