Warriors vs. Suns NBA Prediction: This Moneyline Pick Has Returned 12% on Investment Since 2005

Avery Yang

Updated:

Oct 25, 2022, 03:45 PM EDT

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Warriors vs. Suns NBA Prediction: This Moneyline Pick Has Returned 12% on Investment Since 2005 article feature image

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Credit:

Barry Gossage/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Devin Booker #1 and Chris Paul #3 of the Phoenix Suns.

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Odds

Warriors Odds	+108
Suns Odds	-126
Over/Under	226.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Date	Tuesday, October 25
Time	10 p.m. ET
Channel	TNT

*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning

The Action Network has developed a betting system with data tracing back to 2005 that fits a moneyline pick for Warriors vs. Suns tonight.

This pick has returned 12% on investment for the last 17 years. The specific parameters of this algorithm only apply to roughly 45 NBA games per year — including tonight's contest.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting trend since 2005, you'd be up about $10,000. That's roughly $600 per year.

And this is across a substantial sample size: 800 or so games over the past 17 seasons.

We don't recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.

For instance, this system has a 12% annual return on investment. The S&P 500 — the approximate value of the American stock market — has risen an average of 8% over that same timeframe.

Warriors vs. Suns Betting System Pick

This betting system requires our team to be the road underdog early in the season.

The opponent also needs to have a winning record in order to temper variance.

"Early in the season" means it's the road underdog's first to 10th game of the year.

All these parameters tab the Warriors at +108 as the moneyline pick to make. Click this FanDuel quickslip or the one at the bottom of the story in order to automatically put the bet into your betslip. It's the best price on the market across major American sportsbook.

We have a similar betting philosophy for the spread, too, which you can read more about here.

But while Tuesday may be the day to cash in, do keep in mind that this system returns 12% of profit over a long time horizon.

In order to maximize that ROI, make sure to bet on every game that fits this system for the remainder of the season.

Pick: Warriors +108 or better

(Click here to load Warriors +108 into your FanDuel account automatically!)

Avery Yang

Action Contributor

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About the Author

Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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