2023 March Madness: Arkansas’ Odds to Win Tournament, Make Final Four

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Arkansas and its plucky freshmen guards are now two steps away from making the Final Four.

The Razorbacks have a 13th-best mark of +3500 at FanDuel to win the NCAA Tournament.

Those odds imply a probability of 2.8% that Arkansas will win the national championship.

Arkansas have odds at FanDuel of +650 that they'll make the Final Four — the worst in their region. Those odds imply the Razorbacks have a 13.3% chance to make the Final Four.

Arkansas will play UConn in the Sweet 16. The Razorbacks opened as +3.5 underdogs for that contest — and rightfully so.

While the Huskies are considered the fourth-best team in college basketball, according to KenPom, Arkansas is 17th.

And Bart Torvik's T-Rankings rank UConn No. 4 overall, with Arkansas clocking in at No. 18 overall.

Still, the Razorbacks are live with their two likely top-five picks.

Guards Nick Smith and Anthony Black are projected to go in the top five in the NBA Draft, as of March.

Junior guard Ricky Council figures to be drafted at some point in the second round, too.

Arkansas upset Kansas by a point on Saturday night in a nail-biter. Should it beat UConn in the Sweet 16, it'd face either UCLA, Gonzaga or TCU in the Elite Eight.

Prior to the tournament, Arkansas had been +6600 to win the NCAA Tournament.

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For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAA Tournament, check out the latest college basketball odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all of the 2023 NCAA Tournament games.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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