2023 March Madness: Texas’ Odds to Make Final Four, Win Tournament

2023 March Madness: Texas’ Odds to Make Final Four, Win Tournament article feature image
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LUBBOCK, TEXAS – FEBRUARY 13: Guard Sir’Jabari Rice #10 of the Texas Longhorns. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images)

The Texas Longhorns are one step away from the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament, and two from the opportunity to cut down the nets after routing No. 3 Xavier Friday in the Sweet 16.

The Longhorns are the second favorites to win March Madness, with odds of +350 at FanDuel. Texas' odds to win the national championship are about 22.2%, according to our odds converter.

UConn is the favorite.

The Longhorns draw Miami in the Elite Eight, looking for just their second Final Four appearance since 1947.

Texas covered as four-point favorites over Xavier. The Longhorns were between -195 and -225 on the moneyline.

Texas was +200 to make the Final Four entering the week.

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Before the start of the tournament, our senior editor Ryan Collinsworth identified six teams that were most likely to win March Madness.

Using the following criteria, he correctly identified the winner for the last three tournaments.

  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjO) of 113.9 or higher.
  • Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjD) of 96.2 or lower.
  • Adjusted Efficiency Margin (AdjEM) of 23.83 or higher.

This year, six teams fit these parameters: Alabama, Houston, UConn, Purdue, UCLA.

The sixth team? Texas.

For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAA Tournament, check out the latest college basketball odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all of the 2023 NCAA Tournament games.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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