Day One of the Second Round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament is in the books, which means we're down to 24 teams remaining in 2024 March Madness. Eight teams have moved on to the Sweet 16, and another 16 will be in action on Sunday and be pared in half by the end of the day.
As we head into Sunday's Second Round games, here are the updated odds and predictions to win the NCAA Tournament and to make the Final Four.
The March Madness futures odds below are via FanDuel Sportsbook. We've also included our expert predictions on the chances to win the NCAA Tournament and to make the Final Four for every remaining team courtesy of our director of predictive analytics, Sean Koerner.
Koerner has projected the odds to win the tournament and make the Final Four, and we're updating those predictions every day of March Madness. So let's get to the 2024 March Madness updated odds and predictions to win the NCAA Tournament and odds and predictions to make the Final Four.
Updated Odds and Predictions to Win 2024 NCAA Tournament
| Team | NCAA Tournament Odds | Expert Prediction | Expert Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | +250 | 19.2% | +421 |
| Houston | +550 | 18.9% | +429 |
| Purdue | +700 | 8.8% | +1041 |
| Arizona | +850 | 7.0% | +1329 |
| Tennessee | +1000 | 10.8% | +822 |
| Iowa St. | +1600 | 5.2% | +1807 |
| North Carolina | +1700 | 6.0% | +1573 |
| Marquette | +1800 | 3.4% | +2804 |
| Creighton | +2100 | 2.6% | +3821 |
| Gonzaga | +2200 | 2.3% | +4164 |
| Duke | +2500 | 5.6% | +1671 |
| Baylor | +3000 | 1.9% | +5047 |
| Illinois | +3000 | 3.6% | +2679 |
| Alabama | +3500 | 2.8% | +3515 |
| San Diego St. | +5000 | 0.7% | +13752 |
| Colorado | +5000 | 0.4% | +24846 |
| Clemson | +10000 | 0.2% | +41436 |
| Texas A&M | +12000 | 0.1% | +108249 |
| N.C. State | +12000 | 0.1% | +86597 |
| James Madison | +20000 | 0.0% | +320308 |
| Northwestern | +20000 | 0.1% | +152298 |
| GCU | +20000 | 0.0% | +225146 |
| Utah St. | +20000 | 0.0% | +221149 |
| Yale | +50000 | 0.0% | +2281836 |
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out the new user FanDuel promo code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
UConn remains the betting favorite to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament at +250, with our expert prediction giving the Huskies a 19.2% chance of winning the title.
Houston has the second-best odds to win the NCAA Tournament at +550, although we predict almost an equal chance of the Cougars winning March Madness (+550) as we do for the favorite, UConn.
The rows highlighted in green above and below are the teams that are showing value on NCAA Tournament futures when we compare the available odds to our projected odds to win the Tournament and make the Final Four.
For NCAA Tournament winner predictions, Houston and Tennessee remain the two favorites with the most value on potential bets, while both Duke and North Carolina are now showing value, as well as Illinois.
Updated Odds to Make 2024 Final Four
| Team | Final Four Odds | Expert Prediction | Expert Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | -160 | 48.6% | +106 |
| Houston | +125 | 46.7% | +114 |
| Arizona | +145 | 33.9% | +195 |
| Purdue | +170 | 30.1% | +232 |
| Tennessee | +190 | 37.3% | +168 |
| North Carolina | +240 | 31.2% | +220 |
| Marquette | +300 | 18.9% | +429 |
| Iowa St. | +310 | 23.6% | +323 |
| Gonzaga | +380 | 15.8% | +533 |
| Duke | +400 | 22.9% | +338 |
| Creighton | +450 | 15.8% | +534 |
| Baylor | +500 | 13.0% | +668 |
| Alabama | +500 | 17.0% | +487 |
| Illinois | +500 | 18.9% | +428 |
| Colorado | +900 | 5.1% | +1851 |
| San Diego St. | +1200 | 7.1% | +1305 |
| N.C. State | +1300 | 3.8% | +2524 |
| Clemson | +1400 | 3.5% | +2738 |
| Texas A&M | +2000 | 1.6% | +5971 |
| GCU | +3000 | 1.3% | +7508 |
| James Madison | +3200 | 0.9% | +10936 |
| Northwestern | +3500 | 1.4% | +7075 |
| Utah St. | +5000 | 1.0% | +9550 |
| Yale | +6500 | 0.3% | +32099 |
Those same five teams are also showing value on their Final Four odds and predictions, as is Alabama, which has been undervalued throughout the tournament when it comes to the Crimson Tide's chances of making the Final Four. (Remember, the chances to make the Final Four for all of the teams adds up to 400%, not 100%, because there are four Final Four berths available.)
Are you in North Carolina? North Carolina sports betting came online on March 11, so you can bet legally at major sportsbooks today. Learn more.
